TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13044947
Played Aug 30Finished
Erik Precek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119411811611––
Kamil Kleprlik
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:55 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeKamil Kleprlik to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingErik Precek above · Kamil Kleprlik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 71 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Kamil Kleprlik at 58.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Erik Precek 2–5 Kamil Kleprlik Erik Precek has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kleprlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Kleprlik
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Precek 1563 vs Kleprlik 1584
Kleprlik
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Precek 60% vs Kleprlik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Precek 70% vs Kleprlik 30%
Precek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Precek -1 · Kleprlik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kleprlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Precek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrecek 2.20 / Kleprlik 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kleprlik)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13044947
Precek2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 66 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 47
Kleprlik1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 56 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it71% 39 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePrecek2wins
AwayKleprlik5wins
2 of 7 to a deciderKleprlik leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrecek33.3%1 of 3
AwayKleprlik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Precek3Kleprlik4n = 7Kleprlik took 4 of 7
S2Precek3Kleprlik4n = 7Kleprlik took 4 of 7
S3Precek1Kleprlik6n = 7Kleprlik took 6 of 7
S4Precek1Kleprlik3n = 4Kleprlik took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricPrecekKleprlikP − KBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match31.739.0−7.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrecekKleprlikBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 446 vs 241 / 48947.1%49.3%210 / 446 vs 241 / 489Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KleprlikPrecek 2.20/Kleprlik 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Kleprlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kleprlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 30 · 06:45E. Precek—114861K. Kleprlik—91111113
LAug 2 · 10:40E. Precek—8480K. Kleprlik—1111113
LJun 13 · 09:40E. Precek—6470K. Kleprlik—1111113
LApr 11 · 09:45E. Precek—13117582K. Kleprlik—1191111113
WMar 25 · 17:50E. Precek—111157133K. Kleprlik—761111112
LMar 25 · 16:45E. Precek—98110K. Kleprlik—1111133
WFeb 26 · 17:15E. Precek—41111113K. Kleprlik—116591
E. Precek10
WSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990WSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092LSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071LSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261WSep 5 · 12:15M. Macurak1.618770E. Precek2.201111113LSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192LAug 30 · 08:49L. Dzida2.201111113E. Precek1.616870LAug 30 · 07:45E. Precek1.8011613111D. Vitasek1.9181115133
K. Kleprlik10
LSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113WSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670WSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112LSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131WSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590WSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291WSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113WSep 4 · 16:15D. Skulina1.6196100K. Kleprlik2.201111123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.