TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084732
Played Sep 6Finished
Jan Skvrna
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13151151210117––
Erik Precek
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:37 and never touched — 64.4% is still 64.4%
Graded at full timeJan Skvrna to win
64.4%
64.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Erik Precek below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 84 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Jan Skvrna at 64.4%
84 points played in total.
H2H Jan Skvrna 16–9 Erik Precek Erik Precek has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:37What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Skvrna
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-9 in 25
Skvrna
Correct
gap of 7 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvrna 1688 vs Precek 1570
Skvrna
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvrna 60% vs Precek 20%
Skvrna
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvrna 50% vs Precek 20%
Skvrna
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvrna +2 · Precek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Skvrna)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Precek form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvrna 1.53 / Precek 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Skvrna)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13084732
Skvrna1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 228 of 386
Up 2–0, closes it96% 77 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it74% 160 of 216
Precek2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 66 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvrna8wins
AwayPrecek2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSkvrna leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvrna100%6 of 6
AwayPrecek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvrna6Precek4n = 10Skvrna took 6 of 10
S2Skvrna8Precek2n = 10Skvrna took 8 of 10
S3Skvrna4Precek6n = 10Precek took 6 of 10
S4Skvrna5Precek2n = 7Skvrna took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvrnaPrecekS − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.335.6+2.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvrnaPrecekBasisWin rate · lifetime453 / 781 vs 211 / 45058%46.9%453 / 781 vs 211 / 450Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSkvrna 1.53/Precek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.4%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skvrna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna—115129113E. Precek—911101192
WJul 16 · 13:15J. Skvrna—1511113E. Precek—13990
WJul 16 · 09:40J. Skvrna—11113113E. Precek—831161
WJul 14 · 09:45J. Skvrna—11118113E. Precek—961161
LJul 12 · 14:10J. Skvrna—612851E. Precek—111011113
WJul 10 · 12:50J. Skvrna—1111113E. Precek—6980
LJul 10 · 10:45J. Skvrna—51190E. Precek—1113113
WJun 23 · 11:10J. Skvrna—8111111113E. Precek—11913752
WJun 14 · 08:15J. Skvrna—71211113E. Precek—1110961
WJun 11 · 07:40J. Skvrna—11116113E. Precek—991141
J. Skvrna10
LSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113WSep 5 · 13:10M. Macurak1.90891191J. Skvrna1.7411118113WSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152LSep 5 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.6171180M. Macurak2.201113113WSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192LSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681WSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113WSep 4 · 15:15K. Kleprlik1.8381111682J. Skvrna1.83115911113
E. Precek10
WSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990WSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092LSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261WSep 5 · 12:15M. Macurak1.618770E. Precek2.201111113LSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192LAug 30 · 08:49L. Dzida2.201111113E. Precek1.616870LAug 30 · 07:45E. Precek1.8011613111D. Vitasek1.9181115133LAug 30 · 06:45E. Precek2.20114861K. Kleprlik1.6191111113
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