TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084646
Played Sep 6Finished
Erik Precek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5117111181210119
Tomas Krenek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:18 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingErik Precek above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 95 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 58.2%
95 points played in total.
H2H Erik Precek 11–7 Tomas Krenek Tomas Krenek has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:18What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Krenek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-7 in 18
Precek
Correct
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Precek 1569 vs Krenek 1668
Krenek
Wrong
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Precek 20% vs Krenek 80%
Krenek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Precek 20% vs Krenek 70%
Krenek
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Precek -2 · Krenek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Krenek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krenek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrecek 2.10 / Krenek 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Krenek)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13084646
Precek2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 66 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Krenek1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 125 of 235
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it74% 83 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrecek4wins
AwayKrenek6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKrenek leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrecek50%3 of 6
AwayKrenek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Precek6Krenek4n = 10Precek took 6 of 10
S2Precek3Krenek7n = 10Krenek took 7 of 10
S3Precek7Krenek3n = 10Precek took 7 of 10
S4Precek4Krenek4n = 8split evenly
S5Precek2Krenek4n = 6Krenek took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrecekKrenekP − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.443.1−1.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrecekKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 452 vs 448 / 88646.9%50.6%212 / 452 vs 448 / 886Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekPrecek 2.10/Krenek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.2%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Precek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek—571112113T. Krenek—111181092
WJul 16 · 12:10E. Precek—113113113T. Krenek—91161152
LJun 23 · 12:10E. Precek—911721T. Krenek—11411113
LJun 22 · 09:45E. Precek—12851172T. Krenek—1011112113
WJun 18 · 08:45E. Precek—1111113T. Krenek—9690
LJun 18 · 06:40E. Precek—108131182T. Krenek—1211119113
WJun 17 · 11:40E. Precek—1113193T. Krenek—911170
LJun 13 · 14:40E. Precek—810131182T. Krenek—1112117113
LJun 10 · 10:10E. Precek—118661T. Krenek—81111113
LJun 3 · 09:15E. Precek—119117122T. Krenek—811611143
E. Precek10
WSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990LSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071LSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261WSep 5 · 12:15M. Macurak1.618770E. Precek2.201111113LSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192LAug 30 · 08:49L. Dzida2.201111113E. Precek1.616870LAug 30 · 07:45E. Precek1.8011613111D. Vitasek1.9181115133LAug 30 · 06:45E. Precek2.20114861K. Kleprlik1.6191111113
T. Krenek10
WSep 8 · 08:38D. Jr1.91815120T. Krenek1.801117143LSep 8 · 08:10T. Krenek1.61316671D. Jr2.20111411113LSep 8 · 06:40M. Macurak1.911111123T. Krenek1.8097100LSep 8 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831211113T. Krenek1.8310670WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123WSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113LSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133WSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73119119133D. Pawlik2.00611911112
Upcoming Matches
E. Precek
Nothing scheduled
T. Krenek
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