TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084477
Played Sep 6Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1169111199111311
Dominik Pawlik
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:39 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Dominik Pawlik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 101 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 54.5%
101 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 13–11 Dominik Pawlik Dominik Pawlik has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krenek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-11 in 24
Krenek
Correct
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1695 vs Pawlik 1497
Krenek
Correct
both rated, 198 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 60% vs Pawlik 40%
Krenek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 60% vs Pawlik 40%
Krenek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek +2 · Pawlik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Krenek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 1.73 / Pawlik 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Krenek)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13084477
Krenek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 127 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it90% 52 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it73% 85 of 116
Pawlik2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 57 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back20% 13 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrenek5wins
AwayPawlik5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrenek50%3 of 6
AwayPawlik50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krenek6Pawlik4n = 10Krenek took 6 of 10
S2Krenek4Pawlik6n = 10Pawlik took 6 of 10
S3Krenek5Pawlik5n = 10split evenly
S4Krenek5Pawlik3n = 8Krenek took 5 of 8
S5Krenek3Pawlik4n = 7Pawlik took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrenekPawlikK − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.742.4−1.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekPawlikBasisWin rate · lifetime450 / 888 vs 222 / 44850.7%49.6%450 / 888 vs 222 / 448Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekKrenek 1.73/Pawlik 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek—119119133D. Pawlik—611911112
LSep 2 · 09:15T. Krenek—11151192D. Pawlik—711117113
LSep 2 · 05:45T. Krenek—11213682D. Pawlik—6111111113
WAug 25 · 05:40T. Krenek—1111113D. Pawlik—5980
WAug 24 · 09:03T. Krenek—511911113D. Pawlik—11511652
LAug 24 · 05:40T. Krenek—65161292D. Pawlik—11111410113
WAug 21 · 11:15T. Krenek—11116133D. Pawlik—9411111
WAug 19 · 06:15T. Krenek—1211113113D. Pawlik—14471182
LAug 12 · 12:10T. Krenek—9490D. Pawlik—1111113
LAug 10 · 07:10T. Krenek—11451172D. Pawlik—911118113
T. Krenek10
WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092WSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113LSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133WSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102WSep 3 · 08:44R. Benes1.919790T. Krenek1.801111113LSep 3 · 07:45T. Krenek2.00411100R. Benes1.731113123WSep 3 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73149118113D. Jr2.00121151152
D. Pawlik10
LSep 7 · 06:10D. Pawlik1.731411391L. Lasota2.0016811113LSep 6 · 08:50L. Slavik1.611613113D. Pawlik2.20141110LSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113LSep 6 · 06:15L. Slavik1.61111195113D. Pawlik2.2088111182WSep 5 · 08:44J. Przybyla1.7363111182D. Pawlik2.00111189113LSep 5 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.839580J. Przybyla1.831111113LSep 5 · 06:45M. Macurak1.53511119113D. Pawlik2.3811821112WSep 5 · 06:15B. Mrowetz1.4411116982D. Pawlik2.63831111113LSep 3 · 13:15B. Mrowetz1.441112113D. Pawlik2.6351060WSep 3 · 12:10D. Pawlik1.5711117113L. Kantor2.25861191
Upcoming Matches
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D. Pawlik
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