TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13067743
Played Sep 3Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
41111131012––––
Radek Benes
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:48 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeRadek Benes to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Radek Benes below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 61 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Radek Benes at 54.1%
61 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 64–68 Radek Benes Tomas Krenek has won 64 of their 132 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:48What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Benes
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
64-68 in 132
Benes
Correct
gap of 4 in 132, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1641 vs Benes 1642
Benes
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 60% vs Benes 40%
Krenek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 60% vs Benes 30%
Krenek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek +1 · Benes -3
Benes
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Benes)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benes form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 2.00 / Benes 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Benes)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13067743
Krenek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog55% won 130 of 235
Down 0–1, comes back44% 57 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back17% 8 of 47
Benes1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 188 of 335
Up 2–0, closes it95% 76 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it74% 124 of 168
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrenek4wins
AwayBenes6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBenes leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrenekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBenes62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krenek2Benes8n = 10Benes took 8 of 10
S2Krenek6Benes4n = 10Krenek took 6 of 10
S3Krenek4Benes6n = 10Benes took 6 of 10
S4Krenek5Benes4n = 9Krenek took 5 of 9
S5Krenek3Benes3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrenekBenesK − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match44.345.9−1.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime443 / 879 vs 482 / 92050.4%52.4%443 / 879 vs 482 / 920Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesKrenek 2.00/Benes 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 07:45T. Krenek—811117113R. Benes—11791182
LAug 31 · 09:40T. Krenek—1011981R. Benes—12911113
LAug 31 · 07:40T. Krenek—99140R. Benes—1111163
LAug 25 · 10:10T. Krenek—412101192R. Benes—1110126113
LAug 25 · 06:40T. Krenek—111181152R. Benes—913116113
WAug 10 · 13:20T. Krenek—911611113R. Benes—11811792
WAug 10 · 11:10T. Krenek—121111143R. Benes—10137121
LAug 10 · 07:40T. Krenek—151191192R. Benes—177116113
WAug 6 · 10:10T. Krenek—7121110143R. Benes—1110912122
LAug 6 · 06:40T. Krenek—581141R. Benes—11115113
T. Krenek10
WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092WSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113LSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133WSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73119119133D. Pawlik2.00611911112WSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102WSep 3 · 08:44R. Benes1.919790T. Krenek1.801111113WSep 3 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73149118113D. Jr2.00121151152
R. Benes10
LSep 3 · 08:44R. Benes1.919790T. Krenek1.801111113LSep 3 · 07:15B. Mrowetz1.801111113R. Benes1.915860LSep 3 · 06:15R. Benes1.83661141D. Jr1.8311119113LSep 2 · 13:15T. Krenek1.91159118113R. Benes1.80131161152WSep 2 · 12:15R. Benes1.8391112113B. Mrowetz1.831161081WSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.91871191R. Benes1.8011116113LSep 2 · 10:15T. Krenek1.9112811133R. Benes1.8010119111LSep 2 · 08:45D. Jr1.831111113R. Benes1.837790LSep 2 · 07:45T. Krenek1.73811117113R. Benes2.0011791182WSep 2 · 07:15D. Pawlik2.109116141R. Benes1.6711311163
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