TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084562
Played Sep 6Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11911581111131210
Dalibor Velky Jr
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:58 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Dalibor Velky Jr below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 101 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 55.3%
101 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 22–14 Dalibor Velky Jr Dalibor Velky Jr has won 14 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krenek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-14 in 36
Krenek
Correct
gap of 8 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1652 vs Jr 1601
Krenek
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 60% vs Jr 40%
Krenek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 60% vs Jr 30%
Krenek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek +1 · Jr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Krenek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 1.73 / Jr 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Krenek)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13084562
Krenek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 125 of 235
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it74% 83 of 113
Jr2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 119 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back31% 35 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrenek6wins
AwayJr4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKrenek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrenek66.7%4 of 6
AwayJr50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krenek6Jr4n = 10Krenek took 6 of 10
S2Krenek4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Krenek4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Krenek4Jr4n = 8split evenly
S5Krenek4Jr1n = 5Krenek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrenekJrK − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.341.1+0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekJrBasisWin rate · lifetime445 / 881 vs 254 / 50450.5%50.4%445 / 881 vs 254 / 504Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekKrenek 1.73/Jr 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek—1111811123D. Jr—951113102
WSep 3 · 06:45T. Krenek—149118113D. Jr—121151152
WSep 2 · 06:45T. Krenek—61411113D. Jr—1112881
LAug 31 · 06:40T. Krenek—116961D. Jr—91111113
WAug 21 · 13:14T. Krenek—1211113D. Jr—10590
LAug 21 · 12:15T. Krenek—115491D. Jr—81111113
LAug 7 · 10:10T. Krenek—1012111182D. Jr—121485113
WAug 7 · 09:24T. Krenek—1241011113D. Jr—101112672
WAug 7 · 06:40T. Krenek—6111111113D. Jr—11713672
LAug 6 · 12:53T. Krenek—9470D. Jr—1111113
T. Krenek10
WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092WSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113LSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133WSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73119119133D. Pawlik2.00611911112WSep 3 · 08:44R. Benes1.919790T. Krenek1.801111113LSep 3 · 07:45T. Krenek2.00411100R. Benes1.731113123WSep 3 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73149118113D. Jr2.00121151152
D. Jr10
LSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113WSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113WSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390LSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123WSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890LSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181WSep 4 · 08:40J. Skvrna1.5776100D. Jr2.251111123LSep 4 · 08:10M. Macurak1.8051111113D. Jr1.91116471LSep 3 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73149118113D. Jr2.00121151152
Upcoming Matches
T. Krenek
Nothing scheduled
D. Jr
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