TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076347
Played Sep 4Finished
Jan Skvrna
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7116111012––––
Dalibor Velky Jr
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:38 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeJan Skvrna to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Dalibor Velky Jr below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 57 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Jan Skvrna at 60.9%
57 points played in total.
H2H Jan Skvrna 17–7 Dalibor Velky Jr Dalibor Velky Jr has won 7 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:38What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skvrna
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-7 in 24
Skvrna
Wrong
gap of 10 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvrna 1675 vs Jr 1630
Skvrna
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvrna 60% vs Jr 20%
Skvrna
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvrna 60% vs Jr 40%
Skvrna
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvrna -1 · Jr -3
Jr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Skvrna)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvrna 1.57 / Jr 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Skvrna)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13076347
Skvrna1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 222 of 376
Up 2–0, closes it96% 75 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it74% 156 of 211
Jr2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 118 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back32% 35 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvrna6wins
AwayJr4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSkvrna leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvrna66.7%4 of 6
AwayJr50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvrna6Jr4n = 10Skvrna took 6 of 10
S2Skvrna3Jr7n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S3Skvrna6Jr4n = 10Skvrna took 6 of 10
S4Skvrna4Jr5n = 9Jr took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvrnaJrS − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.439.7+0.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvrnaJrBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 772 vs 252 / 49858%50.6%448 / 772 vs 252 / 498Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSkvrna 1.57/Jr 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 05:40J. Skvrna—71211113D. Jr—1110741
WAug 11 · 09:10J. Skvrna—11811113D. Jr—711691
LAug 11 · 06:40J. Skvrna—1168111D. Jr—61111133
WAug 7 · 10:40J. Skvrna—20811113D. Jr—1811651
WAug 6 · 09:40J. Skvrna—711169113D. Jr—119141172
WAug 3 · 13:10J. Skvrna—111113133D. Jr—51311111
LAug 3 · 10:40J. Skvrna—5117121D. Jr—11511143
WJul 22 · 09:08J. Skvrna—115117113D. Jr—71181172
LJul 22 · 07:40J. Skvrna—8980D. Jr—1111113
LJul 19 · 19:40J. Skvrna—117651D. Jr—81111113
J. Skvrna10
LSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113WSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071WSep 5 · 13:10M. Macurak1.90891191J. Skvrna1.7411118113WSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152LSep 5 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.6171180M. Macurak2.201113113WSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192LSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681WSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113
D. Jr10
LSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113WSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113WSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390LSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102LSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123WSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890LSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181LSep 4 · 08:10M. Macurak1.8051111113D. Jr1.91116471LSep 4 · 07:10D. Jr2.2013311101J. Krupnik1.6115118123
Upcoming Matches
J. Skvrna
Nothing scheduled
D. Jr
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