TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073645
Played Sep 4Finished
Radek Sedlacek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118119––––
Dalibor Velky Jr
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Sedlacek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Dalibor Velky Jr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Radek Sedlacek at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Radek Sedlacek 9–11 Dalibor Velky Jr Radek Sedlacek has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:57What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sedlacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-11 in 20
Jr
Wrong
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1552 vs Jr 1624
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 40% vs Jr 20%
Sedlacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 30% vs Jr 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek +1 · Jr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 1.80 / Jr 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jr)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13073645
Sedlacek1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite51% won 44 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it80% 16 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it75% 30 of 40
Jr1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 118 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back32% 35 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSedlacek6wins
AwayJr4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSedlacek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacek100%5 of 5
AwayJr80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S2Sedlacek6Jr4n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S3Sedlacek7Jr3n = 10Sedlacek took 7 of 10
S4Sedlacek3Jr5n = 8Jr took 5 of 8
S5Sedlacek2Jr1n = 3Sedlacek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSedlacekJrS − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.537.9+1.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekJrBasisWin rate · lifetime134 / 287 vs 253 / 50046.7%50.6%134 / 287 vs 253 / 500Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrSedlacek 1.80/Jr 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 09:45R. Sedlacek—1110119113D. Jr—91231172
WAug 10 · 07:45R. Sedlacek—11911113D. Jr—711451
WJul 27 · 07:10R. Sedlacek—631111113D. Jr—11117972
LJul 17 · 09:14R. Sedlacek—81214582D. Jr—11101211113
LJul 17 · 07:15R. Sedlacek—711671D. Jr—11911113
WJul 15 · 08:40R. Sedlacek—1211123D. Jr—108100
LJul 15 · 08:10R. Sedlacek—7114101D. Jr—11911123
WJun 15 · 18:10R. Sedlacek—1111113D. Jr—6440
LJun 12 · 13:25R. Sedlacek—9515101D. Jr—111113123
WJun 12 · 11:15R. Sedlacek—11119113D. Jr—991171
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113WSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.67811118113R. Sedlacek2.1011681192WSep 2 · 11:45R. Sedlacek2.0091311123T. Krenek1.7311115101LSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.91871191R. Benes1.8011116113LSep 2 · 09:45R. Sedlacek1.833560B. Mrowetz1.831111113LSep 1 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006970LSep 1 · 12:15B. Mrowetz2.00117115133R. Sedlacek1.73311711112LSep 1 · 11:15R. Sedlacek1.68651141L. Slavik1.9811118113
D. Jr10
LSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113WSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113WSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390LSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102LSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123WSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181WSep 4 · 08:40J. Skvrna1.5776100D. Jr2.251111123LSep 4 · 08:10M. Macurak1.8051111113D. Jr1.91116471LSep 4 · 07:10D. Jr2.2013311101J. Krupnik1.6115118123
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