TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073048
Played Sep 4Finished
Radek Sedlacek
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911119911119117
Jan Przybyla
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Przybyla to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Jan Przybyla below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 98 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jan Przybyla at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Radek Sedlacek 4–0 Jan Przybyla Jan Przybyla has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:59What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sedlacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Sedlacek
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1541 vs Przybyla 1563
Przybyla
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 20% vs Przybyla 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 20% vs Przybyla 40%
Przybyla
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek -1 · Przybyla -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Sedlacek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przybyla form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 1.44 / Przybyla 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Sedlacek)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13073048
Sedlacek1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite51% won 44 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it80% 16 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it75% 30 of 40
Przybyla2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog55% won 56 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back32% 16 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSedlacek4wins
AwayPrzybyla0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSedlacek leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacek100%3 of 3
AwayPrzybylan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek3Przybyla1n = 4Sedlacek took 3 of 4
S2Sedlacek2Przybyla2n = 4split evenly
S3Sedlacek4Przybyla0n = 4Sedlacek took 4 of 4
S4Sedlacek2Przybyla1n = 3Sedlacek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSedlacekPrzybylaS − PBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match41.229.0+12.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekPrzybylaBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 286 vs 217 / 41146.5%52.8%133 / 286 vs 217 / 411Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekSedlacek 1.44/Przybyla 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 24 · 13:45R. Sedlacek—11911113J. Przybyla—611681
WAug 10 · 09:15R. Sedlacek—1111113J. Przybyla—8440
WAug 10 · 07:15R. Sedlacek—51111113J. Przybyla—119441
WJun 1 · 19:15R. Sedlacek—1111118113J. Przybyla—51331192
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113WSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890LSep 2 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.67811118113R. Sedlacek2.1011681192WSep 2 · 11:45R. Sedlacek2.0091311123T. Krenek1.7311115101LSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.91871191R. Benes1.8011116113LSep 2 · 09:45R. Sedlacek1.833560B. Mrowetz1.831111113LSep 1 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006970LSep 1 · 12:15B. Mrowetz2.00117115133R. Sedlacek1.73311711112LSep 1 · 11:15R. Sedlacek1.68651141L. Slavik1.9811118113
J. Przybyla10
LSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580LSep 5 · 08:44J. Przybyla1.7363111182D. Pawlik2.00111189113WSep 5 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.839580J. Przybyla1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113LSep 5 · 05:45M. Macurak1.5712119113J. Przybyla2.251091181WSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123LSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113LSep 2 · 16:44J. Przybyla1.801161261T. Molin1.9171114113WSep 2 · 15:45J. Przybyla1.80119514113T. Molin1.91911111272
Upcoming Matches
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J. Przybyla
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