TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081713
Played Sep 5Finished
Jan Przybyla
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611311118119811
Dominik Pawlik
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJan Przybyla above · Dominik Pawlik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 89 set 5, 8-11
89 points played in total.
H2H Jan Przybyla 5–7 Dominik Pawlik Jan Przybyla has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Przybyla)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przybyla form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzybyla 1.73 / Pawlik 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Przybyla)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13081713
Przybyla1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 54 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it82% 28 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it70% 40 of 57
Pawlik2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 56 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzybyla5wins
AwayPawlik5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzybyla80%4 of 5
AwayPawlik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przybyla5Pawlik5n = 10split evenly
S2Przybyla5Pawlik5n = 10split evenly
S3Przybyla5Pawlik5n = 10split evenly
S4Przybyla1Pawlik2n = 3Pawlik took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzybylaPawlikPrzybyla − PawlikBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.233.20.0per matchSweeps43+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzybylaPawlikBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 418 vs 221 / 44252.4%50%219 / 418 vs 221 / 442Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzybylaPrzybyla 1.73/Pawlik 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Przybyla · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pawlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 08:15J. Przybyla—1111113D. Pawlik—9580
WAug 31 · 07:45J. Przybyla—1211113D. Pawlik—10690
WAug 28 · 07:15J. Przybyla—8111211113D. Pawlik—111310972
LJul 24 · 06:15J. Przybyla—1111861D. Pawlik—13811113
LJul 2 · 16:15J. Przybyla—11480D. Pawlik—1311113
LJun 20 · 08:40J. Przybyla—10770D. Pawlik—1211113
WJun 20 · 06:40J. Przybyla—1111113D. Pawlik—9590
WMay 18 · 09:25J. Przybyla—1111113D. Pawlik—8890
LMay 18 · 07:15J. Przybyla—9990D. Pawlik—1111113
LMar 7 · 08:10J. Przybyla—1194121D. Pawlik—61111143
J. Przybyla10
LSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580WSep 5 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.839580J. Przybyla1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113LSep 5 · 05:45M. Macurak1.5712119113J. Przybyla2.251091181WSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123LSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113LSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 16:44J. Przybyla1.801161261T. Molin1.9171114113WSep 2 · 15:45J. Przybyla1.80119514113T. Molin1.91911111272
D. Pawlik10
LSep 7 · 06:10D. Pawlik1.731411391L. Lasota2.0016811113LSep 6 · 08:50L. Slavik1.611613113D. Pawlik2.20141110LSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113LSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73119119133D. Pawlik2.00611911112LSep 6 · 06:15L. Slavik1.61111195113D. Pawlik2.2088111182LSep 5 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.839580J. Przybyla1.831111113LSep 5 · 06:45M. Macurak1.53511119113D. Pawlik2.3811821112WSep 5 · 06:15B. Mrowetz1.4411116982D. Pawlik2.63831111113LSep 3 · 13:15B. Mrowetz1.441112113D. Pawlik2.6351060WSep 3 · 12:10D. Pawlik1.5711117113L. Kantor2.25861191
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