TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13080370
Played Sep 5Finished
Jan Przybyla
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811115811211––
Bruno Mrowetz
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:23 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeBruno Mrowetz to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Przybyla above · Bruno Mrowetz below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 67 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Bruno Mrowetz at 61.7%
67 points played in total.
H2H Jan Przybyla 0–3 Bruno Mrowetz Jan Przybyla has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:23What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Mrowetz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Mrowetz
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przybyla 1514 vs Mrowetz 1697
Mrowetz
Correct
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przybyla 20% vs Mrowetz 80%
Mrowetz
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przybyla 20% vs Mrowetz 80%
Mrowetz
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Przybyla -1 · Mrowetz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Mrowetz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrowetz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzybyla 2.25 / Mrowetz 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Mrowetz)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13080370
Przybyla2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog53% won 56 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back30% 16 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Mrowetz1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 76 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it79% 57 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePrzybyla0wins
AwayMrowetz3wins
Mrowetz leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzybylan = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayMrowetz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przybyla0Mrowetz3n = 3Mrowetz took 3 of 3
S2Przybyla1Mrowetz2n = 3Mrowetz took 2 of 3
S3Przybyla0Mrowetz3n = 3Mrowetz took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricPrzybylaMrowetzP − MBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match24.035.3−11.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzybylaMrowetzBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 420 vs 238 / 47352.1%50.3%219 / 420 vs 238 / 473Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrowetzPrzybyla 2.25/Mrowetz 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Mrowetz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 7 · 05:40J. Przybyla—7580B. Mrowetz—1111113
LSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla—811821B. Mrowetz—11511113
LMay 26 · 14:45J. Przybyla—11480B. Mrowetz—1311113
J. Przybyla10
LSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580LSep 5 · 08:44J. Przybyla1.7363111182D. Pawlik2.00111189113WSep 5 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.839580J. Przybyla1.831111113LSep 5 · 05:45M. Macurak1.5712119113J. Przybyla2.251091181WSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123LSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113LSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 16:44J. Przybyla1.801161261T. Molin1.9171114113WSep 2 · 15:45J. Przybyla1.80119514113T. Molin1.91911111272
B. Mrowetz10
WSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580WSep 5 · 09:16B. Mrowetz1.831181112133M. Macurak1.831311110112WSep 5 · 07:45M. Macurak1.6111541162B. Mrowetz2.20911118113LSep 5 · 06:15B. Mrowetz1.4411116982D. Pawlik2.63831111113WSep 3 · 13:15B. Mrowetz1.441112113D. Pawlik2.6351060WSep 3 · 11:40J. Krupnik1.83116641B. Mrowetz1.8391111113WSep 3 · 11:10L. Kantor2.25651181B. Mrowetz1.5711117113WSep 3 · 10:10B. Mrowetz1.731211113D. Pawlik2.0010250WSep 3 · 09:14D. Jr1.444147101B. Mrowetz2.63111211123
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