Bruno Mrowetz vs Michal Macurak 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13081852

Played Sep 5Finished

Bruno Mrowetz

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

111381111112101311

Michal Macurak

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingBruno Mrowetz above · Michal Macurak below

Set 1 · 11-13

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 11-1

Set 4 · 12-10

Set 5 · 13-11

Point 101 set 5, 13-11

101 points played in total.

H2H Bruno Mrowetz 12–9 Michal Macurak Michal Macurak has won 9 of their 21 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mrowetz)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Macurak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMrowetz 1.83 / Macurak 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Mrowetz)+4.0pp

TT Cup · #13081852

Mrowetz1.83

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

Macurak1.83

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMrowetz5wins

AwayMacurak5wins

2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMrowetz75%3 of 4

AwayMacurak66.7%4 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Mrowetz4Macurak6n = 10Macurak took 6 of 10

S2Mrowetz4Macurak6n = 10Macurak took 6 of 10

S3Mrowetz3Macurak7n = 10Macurak took 7 of 10

S4Mrowetz3Macurak2n = 5Mrowetz took 3 of 5

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away440%

These 10 meetings

MetricMrowetzMacurakMrowetz − MacurakBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.735.5−0.8per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMrowetzMacurakBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 471 vs 228 / 45250.1%50.4%236 / 471 vs 228 / 452Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Mrowetz

Mrowetz 1.83/Macurak 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Mrowetz · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Mrowetz won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 5 · 07:45B. Mrowetz—911118113M. Macurak—11541162

LAug 24 · 12:43B. Mrowetz—9890M. Macurak—1111113

WAug 24 · 12:10B. Mrowetz—311912123M. Macurak—1181110102

WAug 22 · 15:40B. Mrowetz—14711123M. Macurak—12118101

LAug 3 · 17:10B. Mrowetz—1191081M. Macurak—81112113

LAug 3 · 14:45B. Mrowetz—5780M. Macurak—1111113

WJul 7 · 16:15B. Mrowetz—1311113M. Macurak—11830

LJun 28 · 16:45B. Mrowetz—3950M. Macurak—1111113

LJun 28 · 14:40B. Mrowetz—81090M. Macurak—1112113

WMay 23 · 09:10B. Mrowetz—11129113M. Macurak—6101131

B. Mrowetz10

WSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562 WSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580 WSep 5 · 07:45M. Macurak1.6111541162B. Mrowetz2.20911118113 WSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113 LSep 5 · 06:15B. Mrowetz1.4411116982D. Pawlik2.63831111113 WSep 3 · 13:15B. Mrowetz1.441112113D. Pawlik2.6351060 WSep 3 · 11:40J. Krupnik1.83116641B. Mrowetz1.8391111113 WSep 3 · 11:10L. Kantor2.25651181B. Mrowetz1.5711117113 WSep 3 · 10:10B. Mrowetz1.731211113D. Pawlik2.0010250 WSep 3 · 09:14D. Jr1.444147101B. Mrowetz2.63111211123

M. Macurak10

WSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991 WSep 6 · 19:40D. Skulina1.6711119492M. Macurak2.10771111113 WSep 6 · 19:10P. Marsalek2.20891131M. Macurak1.6111118113 WSep 6 · 18:10M. Macurak1.7311101112153J. Travnicek2.00312614132 LSep 5 · 13:10M. Macurak1.90891191J. Skvrna1.7411118113 LSep 5 · 12:15M. Macurak1.618770E. Precek2.201111113 WSep 5 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.6171180M. Macurak2.201113113 WSep 5 · 10:15J. Krupnik1.91611751M. Macurak1.8011611113 LSep 5 · 07:45M. Macurak1.6111541162B. Mrowetz2.20911118113 WSep 5 · 06:45M. Macurak1.53511119113D. Pawlik2.3811821112

Upcoming Matches

B. Mrowetz

Sep 7 · 07:40B. Mrowetz1.50D. Pawlik2.50—Sep 7 · 10:10B. Mrowetz1.67R. Benes2.10—Sep 7 · 11:10B. Mrowetz2.00D. Jr1.73—Sep 7 · 11:40B. Mrowetz1.73T. Kindl2.00—

M. Macurak

Nothing scheduled

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