TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086326
Played Sep 6Finished
David Skulina
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117117911411911
Michal Macurak
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:38 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeDavid Skulina to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Michal Macurak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11 — our read held David Skulina at 59.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H David Skulina 2–0 Michal Macurak Michal Macurak has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:38What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skulina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skulina 1605 vs Macurak 1656
Macurak
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skulina 40% vs Macurak 60%
Macurak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skulina 60% vs Macurak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skulina -2 · Macurak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skulina) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Macurak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkulina 1.67 / Macurak 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skulina)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13086326
Skulina1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 26 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it77% 20 of 26
Macurak2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 68 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back30% 21 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSkulina2wins
AwayMacurak0wins
Skulina leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSkulinaMacurakS − MBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.523.5+14.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkulinaMacurakBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 143 vs 231 / 45850.4%50.4%72 / 143 vs 231 / 458Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkulinaSkulina 1.67/Macurak 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skulina · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Macurak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 6 · 18:45D. Skulina—91111113M. Macurak—117291
WMar 30 · 09:40D. Skulina—1111113M. Macurak—5670
D. Skulina10
WSep 6 · 20:48P. Marsalek2.0058100D. Skulina1.731111123LSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 17:40D. Skulina1.50101331182P. Marsalek2.501211117113WSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131LSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161WSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123WSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291WSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681LSep 4 · 16:15D. Skulina1.6196100K. Kleprlik2.201111123WSep 4 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.73411148102D. Skulina2.001131211123
M. Macurak10
WSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991WSep 6 · 19:10P. Marsalek2.20891131M. Macurak1.6111118113WSep 6 · 18:10M. Macurak1.7311101112153J. Travnicek2.00312614132LSep 5 · 13:10M. Macurak1.90891191J. Skvrna1.7411118113LSep 5 · 12:15M. Macurak1.618770E. Precek2.201111113WSep 5 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.6171180M. Macurak2.201113113WSep 5 · 10:15J. Krupnik1.91611751M. Macurak1.8011611113LSep 5 · 09:16B. Mrowetz1.831181112133M. Macurak1.831311110112LSep 5 · 07:45M. Macurak1.6111541162B. Mrowetz2.20911118113WSep 5 · 06:45M. Macurak1.53511119113D. Pawlik2.3811821112
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