TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076874
Played Sep 4Finished
Frantisek Chaloupka
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
41111314128111012
David Skulina
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:31 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Chaloupka to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFrantisek Chaloupka above · David Skulina below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 96 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Frantisek Chaloupka at 54.9%
96 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Chaloupka 5–2 David Skulina David Skulina has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:31What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Chaloupka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Chaloupka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaloupka 1690 vs Skulina 1610
Chaloupka
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaloupka 60% vs Skulina 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaloupka 40% vs Skulina 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaloupka -2 · Skulina +3
Skulina
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Chaloupka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaloupka 1.73 / Skulina 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Chaloupka)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13076874
Chaloupka1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 108 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it96% 72 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it73% 93 of 127
Skulina2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 17 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back28% 5 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeChaloupka5wins
AwaySkulina2wins
2 of 7 to a deciderChaloupka leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaloupka66.7%4 of 6
AwaySkulinan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaloupka6Skulina1n = 7Chaloupka took 6 of 7
S2Chaloupka4Skulina3n = 7Chaloupka took 4 of 7
S3Chaloupka3Skulina4n = 7Skulina took 4 of 7
S4Chaloupka4Skulina2n = 6Chaloupka took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricChaloupkaSkulinaC − SBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match40.937.3+3.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaloupkaSkulinaBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 489 vs 67 / 13452.4%50%256 / 489 vs 67 / 134Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaChaloupka 1.73/Skulina 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skulina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 1 · 16:10F. Chaloupka—117581D. Skulina—91111113
WAug 21 · 17:15F. Chaloupka—11115123D. Skulina—8911101
WAug 21 · 14:10F. Chaloupka—11119113D. Skulina—681161
WMar 16 · 17:15F. Chaloupka—1111153D. Skulina—92130
WJan 6 · 18:20F. Chaloupka—116118113D. Skulina—81181192
LJan 6 · 15:15F. Chaloupka—117811122D. Skulina—911114143
WDec 9 · 17:10F. Chaloupka—81111113D. Skulina—118471
F. Chaloupka10
LSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113LSep 6 · 08:10F. Chaloupka1.911111711112D. Stusek1.80913119133WSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113LSep 6 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831111113F. Chaloupka1.831880LSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113LSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113WSep 4 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.83111169113K. Kleprlik1.8339111172LSep 1 · 17:09J. Gembala1.9112118113F. Chaloupka1.801091171LSep 1 · 16:10F. Chaloupka1.67117581D. Skulina2.1091111113WSep 1 · 14:40M. Zaskodny2.10117881F. Chaloupka1.6781111113
D. Skulina10
WSep 6 · 20:48P. Marsalek2.0058100D. Skulina1.731111123LSep 6 · 19:40D. Skulina1.6711119492M. Macurak2.10771111113LSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 17:40D. Skulina1.50101331182P. Marsalek2.501211117113WSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131LSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161WSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123WSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291WSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681WSep 1 · 16:10F. Chaloupka1.67117581D. Skulina2.1091111113
Upcoming Matches
F. Chaloupka
Nothing scheduled
D. Skulina
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