TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13059967
Played Sep 1Finished
Jan Gembala
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210119811117––
Frantisek Chaloupka
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJan Gembala above · Frantisek Chaloupka below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 79 set 4, 11-7
79 points played in total.
H2H Jan Gembala 10–9 Frantisek Chaloupka Frantisek Chaloupka has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chaloupka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaloupka form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGembala 1.91 / Chaloupka 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chaloupka)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13059967
Gembala1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 31 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back26% 8 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Chaloupka1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 111 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it96% 76 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it74% 97 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGembala4wins
AwayChaloupka6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderChaloupka leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGembala66.7%2 of 3
AwayChaloupka71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gembala3Chaloupka7n = 10Chaloupka took 7 of 10
S2Gembala6Chaloupka4n = 10Gembala took 6 of 10
S3Gembala4Chaloupka6n = 10Chaloupka took 6 of 10
S4Gembala2Chaloupka3n = 5Chaloupka took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGembalaChaloupkaG − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.936.4−2.5per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGembalaChaloupkaBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 361 vs 256 / 48853.7%52.5%194 / 361 vs 256 / 488Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaGembala 1.91/Chaloupka 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gembala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 14:10J. Gembala—1121171F. Chaloupka—71113113
LAug 28 · 19:40J. Gembala—8930F. Chaloupka—1111113
WAug 26 · 15:45J. Gembala—1111113F. Chaloupka—8690
LAug 16 · 10:10J. Gembala—8780F. Chaloupka—1111113
WAug 16 · 06:10J. Gembala—1111113F. Chaloupka—9750
LAug 15 · 12:38J. Gembala—71291282F. Chaloupka—11101110113
WAug 15 · 11:10J. Gembala—412149113F. Chaloupka—1110121182
WAug 13 · 16:40J. Gembala—81111113F. Chaloupka—119451
LAug 13 · 16:10J. Gembala—117110F. Chaloupka—1311133
LAug 12 · 17:20J. Gembala—511781F. Chaloupka—11811113
J. Gembala10
WSep 6 · 09:25J. Gembala1.611111113D. Stusek2.206970WSep 6 · 07:40B. Moravec1.80611761J. Gembala1.9111211113WSep 6 · 07:10D. Stusek2.381210961J. Gembala1.53101211113WSep 6 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831111113F. Chaloupka1.831880WSep 1 · 15:40M. Zaskodny1.44109111162J. Gembala2.63121189113WSep 1 · 15:10D. Skulina2.254860J. Gembala1.571111113LSep 1 · 14:10J. Gembala1.831121171F. Chaloupka1.8371113113LSep 1 · 01:15M. Zaskodny1.671111113J. Gembala2.106950LSep 1 · 24:15J. Gembala2.5051070J. Rak1.501112113LAug 31 · 22:45P. Vicherek1.73118118113J. Gembala2.0041181192
F. Chaloupka10
LSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113LSep 6 · 08:10F. Chaloupka1.911111711112D. Stusek1.80913119133WSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113LSep 6 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831111113F. Chaloupka1.831880LSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113LSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113LSep 4 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.73411148102D. Skulina2.001131211123WSep 4 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.83111169113K. Kleprlik1.8339111172LSep 1 · 16:10F. Chaloupka1.67117581D. Skulina2.1091111113WSep 1 · 14:10J. Gembala1.831121171F. Chaloupka1.8371113113
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