TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084489
Played Sep 6Finished
Borek Moravec
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611112711611––
Jan Gembala
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBorek Moravec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingBorek Moravec above · Jan Gembala below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 65 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Borek Moravec at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Borek Moravec 7–11 Jan Gembala Borek Moravec has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Moravec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-11 in 18
Gembala
Correct
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1779 vs Gembala 1653
Moravec
Wrong
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 60% vs Gembala 100%
Gembala
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 50% vs Gembala 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec -2 · Gembala +5
Gembala
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Moravec) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gembala form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.80 / Gembala 1.91
Signal prob.56% / 45%
Edge (Moravec)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13084489
Moravec1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite73% won 112 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it100% 51 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it88% 79 of 90
Gembala1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 33 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back26% 8 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec5wins
AwayGembala5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec75%3 of 4
AwayGembala66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec4Gembala6n = 10Gembala took 6 of 10
S2Moravec4Gembala6n = 10Gembala took 6 of 10
S3Moravec6Gembala4n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S4Moravec3Gembala4n = 7Gembala took 4 of 7
S5Moravec2Gembala2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecGembalaM − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.938.5−2.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecGembalaBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 439 vs 197 / 36457.4%54.1%252 / 439 vs 197 / 364Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.80/Gembala 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.5%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gembala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 16 · 09:15B. Moravec—13611732J. Gembala—1111411113
LAug 16 · 07:40B. Moravec—101111742J. Gembala—128911113
WAug 13 · 14:40B. Moravec—11117113J. Gembala—991121
LAug 8 · 09:15B. Moravec—4580J. Gembala—1111113
WAug 8 · 06:10B. Moravec—11811113J. Gembala—211551
WAug 3 · 14:10B. Moravec—61511113J. Gembala—1113851
WJul 18 · 05:40B. Moravec—7111110113J. Gembala—11991272
WJul 5 · 08:45B. Moravec—116116113J. Gembala—81191192
LJul 5 · 06:40B. Moravec—1960J. Gembala—1111113
LJun 28 · 07:40B. Moravec—8970J. Gembala—1111113
B. Moravec10
WSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113LSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113LSep 6 · 05:40B. Moravec1.806950D. Stusek1.911111113WAug 30 · 09:19B. Moravec1.44119911113J. Skvrna2.6361111462WAug 30 · 07:40B. Moravec1.44831112113F. Chaloupka2.63111181032WAug 30 · 06:40B. Moravec1.44111111113J. Skvrna2.63139431WAug 30 · 05:40B. Moravec1.50117119113J. Skalicky2.5051121172LAug 25 · 16:55J. Rak—116113113B. Moravec—61141182LAug 25 · 16:15J. Rak1.8311119113B. Moravec1.83691171WAug 25 · 15:15B. Moravec2.20114117113P. Vicherek1.6191151192
J. Gembala10
WSep 6 · 09:25J. Gembala1.611111113D. Stusek2.206970WSep 6 · 07:10D. Stusek2.381210961J. Gembala1.53101211113WSep 6 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831111113F. Chaloupka1.831880WSep 1 · 17:09J. Gembala1.9112118113F. Chaloupka1.801091171WSep 1 · 15:40M. Zaskodny1.44109111162J. Gembala2.63121189113WSep 1 · 15:10D. Skulina2.254860J. Gembala1.571111113LSep 1 · 14:10J. Gembala1.831121171F. Chaloupka1.8371113113LSep 1 · 01:15M. Zaskodny1.671111113J. Gembala2.106950LSep 1 · 24:15J. Gembala2.5051070J. Rak1.501112113LAug 31 · 22:45P. Vicherek1.73118118113J. Gembala2.0041181192
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.