TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086760
Played Sep 6Finished
Jan Gembala
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119117––––
David Stusek
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJan Gembala above · David Stusek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7
55 points played in total.
H2H Jan Gembala 6–6 David Stusek Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Gembala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stusek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGembala 1.61 / Stusek 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Gembala)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13086760
Gembala1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 84 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it78% 66 of 85
Stusek2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 17 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back20% 4 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGembala5wins
AwayStusek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGembala80%4 of 5
AwayStusek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gembala5Stusek5n = 10split evenly
S2Gembala7Stusek3n = 10Gembala took 7 of 10
S3Gembala6Stusek4n = 10Gembala took 6 of 10
S4Gembala3Stusek5n = 8Stusek took 5 of 8
S5Gembala1Stusek2n = 3Stusek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGembalaStusekG − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.137.9+1.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGembalaStusekBasisWin rate · lifetime198 / 365 vs 89 / 18054.3%49.4%198 / 365 vs 89 / 180Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.040.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GembalaGembala 1.61/Stusek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Gembala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gembala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 07:10J. Gembala—101211113D. Stusek—1210961
WAug 26 · 14:45J. Gembala—1111113D. Stusek—7860
WAug 12 · 15:40J. Gembala—1111612113D. Stusek—67111462
WJun 14 · 07:45J. Gembala—1111113D. Stusek—6950
LApr 28 · 06:45J. Gembala—611991D. Stusek—11611113
LMar 31 · 18:15J. Gembala—811571D. Stusek—11911113
LFeb 19 · 19:10J. Gembala—111391182D. Stusek—915119113
WFeb 2 · 21:10J. Gembala—11711113D. Stusek—511871
LFeb 1 · 18:40J. Gembala—91213462D. Stusek—11101111113
LDec 19 · 20:15J. Gembala—481151D. Stusek—11113113
J. Gembala10
WSep 6 · 07:40B. Moravec1.80611761J. Gembala1.9111211113WSep 6 · 07:10D. Stusek2.381210961J. Gembala1.53101211113WSep 6 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831111113F. Chaloupka1.831880WSep 1 · 17:09J. Gembala1.9112118113F. Chaloupka1.801091171WSep 1 · 15:40M. Zaskodny1.44109111162J. Gembala2.63121189113WSep 1 · 15:10D. Skulina2.254860J. Gembala1.571111113LSep 1 · 14:10J. Gembala1.831121171F. Chaloupka1.8371113113LSep 1 · 01:15M. Zaskodny1.671111113J. Gembala2.106950LSep 1 · 24:15J. Gembala2.5051070J. Rak1.501112113LAug 31 · 22:45P. Vicherek1.73118118113J. Gembala2.0041181192
D. Stusek10
WSep 6 · 08:10F. Chaloupka1.911111711112D. Stusek1.80913119133LSep 6 · 07:10D. Stusek2.381210961J. Gembala1.53101211113WSep 6 · 05:40B. Moravec1.806950D. Stusek1.911111113LAug 26 · 17:03D. Stusek3.008760F. Chaloupka1.361111113WAug 26 · 16:15D. Stusek2.25121147113B. Mrowetz1.57109111182LAug 26 · 14:45J. Gembala1.831111113D. Stusek1.837860LAug 26 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.831111159133D. Stusek1.83781711112WAug 23 · 08:50D. Vitasek2.387870D. Stusek1.531111113LAug 23 · 07:45B. Moravec2.009111110113D. Stusek1.7311561252LAug 23 · 07:15D. Vitasek2.3811611113D. Stusek1.53711861
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