TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13022318
Played Aug 26Finished
David Stusek
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711611––––
Frantisek Chaloupka
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingDavid Stusek above · Frantisek Chaloupka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11
54 points played in total.
H2H David Stusek 3–5 Frantisek Chaloupka David Stusek has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Chaloupka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaloupka form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStusek 3.00 / Chaloupka 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Chaloupka)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13022318
Stusek3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 20 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back28% 5 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Chaloupka1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 104 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it96% 70 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it73% 91 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeStusek3wins
AwayChaloupka5wins
5 of 8 to a deciderChaloupka leads 5–3, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStusek66.7%2 of 3
AwayChaloupka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stusek3Chaloupka5n = 8Chaloupka took 5 of 8
S2Stusek5Chaloupka3n = 8Stusek took 5 of 8
S3Stusek4Chaloupka4n = 8split evenly
S4Stusek2Chaloupka4n = 6Chaloupka took 4 of 6
S5Stusek2Chaloupka3n = 5Chaloupka took 3 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricStusekChaloupkaS − CBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match41.644.9−3.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStusekChaloupkaBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 176 vs 246 / 47249.4%52.1%87 / 176 vs 246 / 472Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaStusek 3.00/Chaloupka 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.2%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chaloupka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 26 · 14:15D. Stusek—781711112F. Chaloupka—1111159133
LAug 12 · 14:40D. Stusek—111111732F. Chaloupka—138811113
LJun 21 · 08:45D. Stusek—71080F. Chaloupka—1112113
WJun 21 · 05:45D. Stusek—201186113F. Chaloupka—186111172
WJun 18 · 15:10D. Stusek—1111113F. Chaloupka—7980
WFeb 27 · 16:45D. Stusek—912711113F. Chaloupka—111011972
LFeb 10 · 15:40D. Stusek—91111752F. Chaloupka—118811113
LJan 4 · 08:10D. Stusek—116751F. Chaloupka—81111113
D. Stusek10
LSep 6 · 09:25J. Gembala1.611111113D. Stusek2.206970WSep 6 · 08:10F. Chaloupka1.911111711112D. Stusek1.80913119133LSep 6 · 07:10D. Stusek2.381210961J. Gembala1.53101211113WSep 6 · 05:40B. Moravec1.806950D. Stusek1.911111113WAug 26 · 16:15D. Stusek2.25121147113B. Mrowetz1.57109111182LAug 26 · 14:45J. Gembala1.831111113D. Stusek1.837860LAug 26 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.831111159133D. Stusek1.83781711112WAug 23 · 08:50D. Vitasek2.387870D. Stusek1.531111113LAug 23 · 07:45B. Moravec2.009111110113D. Stusek1.7311561252LAug 23 · 07:15D. Vitasek2.3811611113D. Stusek1.53711861
F. Chaloupka10
LSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113LSep 6 · 08:10F. Chaloupka1.911111711112D. Stusek1.80913119133WSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113LSep 6 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831111113F. Chaloupka1.831880LSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113LSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113LSep 4 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.73411148102D. Skulina2.001131211123WSep 4 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.83111169113K. Kleprlik1.8339111172LSep 1 · 17:09J. Gembala1.9112118113F. Chaloupka1.801091171WAug 26 · 14:15F. Chaloupka1.831111159133D. Stusek1.83781711112
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