TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086682
Played Sep 6Finished
Frantisek Chaloupka
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811117511114711
Borek Moravec
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingFrantisek Chaloupka above · Borek Moravec below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 86 set 5, 7-11
86 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Chaloupka 19–34 Borek Moravec Frantisek Chaloupka has won 19 of their 53 meetings.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravec form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaloupka 3.00 / Moravec 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Moravec)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13086682
Chaloupka3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 52 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back32% 19 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Moravec1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite73% won 112 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it100% 51 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it88% 79 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaloupka1wins
AwayMoravec9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMoravec leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaloupka25%1 of 4
AwayMoravec100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaloupka4Moravec6n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S2Chaloupka5Moravec5n = 10split evenly
S3Chaloupka2Moravec8n = 10Moravec took 8 of 10
S4Chaloupka0Moravec7n = 7Moravec took 7 of 7
S5Chaloupka1Moravec3n = 4Moravec took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaloupkaMoravecC − MBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.641.7−5.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaloupkaMoravecBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 496 vs 252 / 44052%57.3%258 / 496 vs 252 / 440Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecChaloupka 3.00/Moravec 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.4%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 06:40F. Chaloupka—111159113B. Moravec—36111172
LAug 30 · 07:40F. Chaloupka—111181032B. Moravec—831112113
LAug 21 · 15:40F. Chaloupka—11711782B. Moravec—711811113
LAug 16 · 06:40F. Chaloupka—961491B. Moravec—111112113
LAug 13 · 13:40F. Chaloupka—814751B. Moravec—111211113
LAug 8 · 07:40F. Chaloupka—8111091B. Moravec—11912113
LAug 7 · 17:10F. Chaloupka—13580B. Moravec—1511113
LAug 7 · 15:40F. Chaloupka—111110762B. Moravec—771211113
LAug 5 · 15:45F. Chaloupka—8680B. Moravec—1111113
LAug 3 · 17:13F. Chaloupka—910100B. Moravec—1112123
F. Chaloupka10
LSep 6 · 08:10F. Chaloupka1.911111711112D. Stusek1.80913119133WSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113LSep 6 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831111113F. Chaloupka1.831880LSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113LSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113LSep 4 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.73411148102D. Skulina2.001131211123WSep 4 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.83111169113K. Kleprlik1.8339111172LSep 1 · 17:09J. Gembala1.9112118113F. Chaloupka1.801091171LSep 1 · 16:10F. Chaloupka1.67117581D. Skulina2.1091111113WSep 1 · 14:40M. Zaskodny2.10117881F. Chaloupka1.6781111113
B. Moravec10
LSep 6 · 07:40B. Moravec1.80611761J. Gembala1.9111211113LSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113LSep 6 · 05:40B. Moravec1.806950D. Stusek1.911111113WAug 30 · 09:19B. Moravec1.44119911113J. Skvrna2.6361111462WAug 30 · 07:40B. Moravec1.44831112113F. Chaloupka2.63111181032WAug 30 · 06:40B. Moravec1.44111111113J. Skvrna2.63139431WAug 30 · 05:40B. Moravec1.50117119113J. Skalicky2.5051121172LAug 25 · 16:55J. Rak—116113113B. Moravec—61141182LAug 25 · 16:15J. Rak1.8311119113B. Moravec1.83691171WAug 25 · 15:15B. Moravec2.20114117113P. Vicherek1.6191151192
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