TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058106
Played Sep 1Finished
Marek Zaskodny
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118711811811––
Frantisek Chaloupka
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:23 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Chaloupka to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Zaskodny above · Frantisek Chaloupka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Frantisek Chaloupka at 57.4%
75 points played in total.
H2H Marek Zaskodny 4–7 Frantisek Chaloupka Marek Zaskodny has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Chaloupka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Chaloupka
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zaskodny 1575 vs Chaloupka 1684
Chaloupka
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zaskodny 40% vs Chaloupka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaskodny 40% vs Chaloupka 60%
Chaloupka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaskodny -1 · Chaloupka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Chaloupka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaloupka form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaskodny 2.10 / Chaloupka 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Chaloupka)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13058106
Zaskodny2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 49 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back16% 12 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Chaloupka1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 111 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it96% 76 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it74% 97 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZaskodny3wins
AwayChaloupka7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderChaloupka leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZaskodny66.7%2 of 3
AwayChaloupka85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zaskodny3Chaloupka7n = 10Chaloupka took 7 of 10
S2Zaskodny3Chaloupka7n = 10Chaloupka took 7 of 10
S3Zaskodny3Chaloupka7n = 10Chaloupka took 7 of 10
S4Zaskodny4Chaloupka3n = 7Zaskodny took 4 of 7
S5Zaskodny2Chaloupka2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZaskodnyChaloupkaZ − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.442.2−6.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaskodnyChaloupkaBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 277 vs 255 / 48641.5%52.5%115 / 277 vs 255 / 486Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.739.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaZaskodny 2.10/Chaloupka 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chaloupka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 17 · 05:40M. Zaskodny—117611123F. Chaloupka—911119102
LApr 17 · 18:40M. Zaskodny—111381F. Chaloupka—11911113
WApr 6 · 05:40M. Zaskodny—11911113F. Chaloupka—911681
LMar 15 · 16:40M. Zaskodny—61060F. Chaloupka—1112113
LJan 6 · 16:45M. Zaskodny—3990F. Chaloupka—1111113
LJan 1 · 15:10M. Zaskodny—66111382F. Chaloupka—1111611113
LDec 26 · 20:40M. Zaskodny—117911122F. Chaloupka—811119143
WDec 26 · 18:40M. Zaskodny—811129113F. Chaloupka—118101182
LDec 26 · 16:40M. Zaskodny—514591F. Chaloupka—111211113
LDec 9 · 15:10M. Zaskodny—6690F. Chaloupka—1111113
M. Zaskodny10
WSep 1 · 16:40D. Skulina2.63911118102M. Zaskodny1.44119511123LSep 1 · 15:40M. Zaskodny1.44109111162J. Gembala2.63121189113LSep 1 · 13:40M. Zaskodny1.671015111592D. Skulina2.101213817113WSep 1 · 01:15M. Zaskodny1.671111113J. Gembala2.106950LAug 31 · 23:45P. Vicherek1.611313113M. Zaskodny2.20111170LAug 31 · 23:15J. Rak1.6111913113M. Zaskodny2.209111181WAug 31 · 16:45M. Zaskodny1.531111113J. Gembala2.388130WAug 24 · 16:39M. Zaskodny1.9191111113D. Sarganek1.80119981WAug 24 · 16:10D. Sarganek1.737490M. Zaskodny2.001111113LAug 24 · 15:10M. Zaskodny2.2591311232P. Vicherek1.571111911113
F. Chaloupka10
LSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113LSep 6 · 08:10F. Chaloupka1.911111711112D. Stusek1.80913119133WSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113LSep 6 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831111113F. Chaloupka1.831880LSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113LSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113LSep 4 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.73411148102D. Skulina2.001131211123WSep 4 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.83111169113K. Kleprlik1.8339111172LSep 1 · 17:09J. Gembala1.9112118113F. Chaloupka1.801091171LSep 1 · 16:10F. Chaloupka1.67117581D. Skulina2.1091111113
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