Jonas Rak vs Marek Zaskodny 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13051669

Played Aug 31Finished

Jonas Rak

Home

1.62

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1199111311118––

Marek Zaskodny

Away

2.20

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:35 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%

Graded at full time

Jonas Rak to win

60.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

no pick shipped

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingJonas Rak above · Marek Zaskodny below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 13-11

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 83 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Jonas Rak at 60.9%

83 points played in total.

H2H Jonas Rak 5–4 Marek Zaskodny Marek Zaskodny has won 4 of their 9 meetings.

Last 9 · 5–4Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 09:35

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Rak

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

5-4 in 9

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Rak 1684 vs Zaskodny 1548

Rak

Correct

both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Rak 60% vs Zaskodny 40%

Rak

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Rak 40% vs Zaskodny 30%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Rak +2 · Zaskodny +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Rak)

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsRak 1.61 / Zaskodny 2.20

Signal prob.61% / 39%

Edge (Rak)+3.2pp

TT Cup · #13051669

Rak1.61

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite59% won 23 of 39

Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12

Up 1–0, closes it73% 16 of 22

Zaskodny2.20

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog36% won 49 of 137

Down 0–1, comes back16% 12 of 74

Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 9 meetings

HomeRak5wins

AwayZaskodny4wins

6 of 9 to a deciderRak leads 5–4, and 6 of those 9 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeRak66.7%4 of 6

AwayZaskodny66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Rak6Zaskodny3n = 9Rak took 6 of 9

S2Rak7Zaskodny2n = 9Rak took 7 of 9

S3Rak2Zaskodny7n = 9Zaskodny took 7 of 9

S4Rak4Zaskodny4n = 8split evenly

S5Rak3Zaskodny3n = 6split evenly

How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home111%

3–1Four sets, home111%

3–2Decider, home333%

2–3Decider, away333%

1–3Four sets, away111%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 9 meetings

MetricRakZaskodnyR − ZBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match46.745.1+1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricRakZaskodnyBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 100 vs 113 / 27250%41.5%50 / 100 vs 113 / 272Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Rak

Rak 1.61/Zaskodny 2.20

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

60.9%

Rak · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Rak won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record9

WAug 1 · 08:15J. Rak—1511193M. Zaskodny—135170

LJul 26 · 14:10J. Rak—13981142M. Zaskodny—1111116113

LJul 17 · 16:44J. Rak—111110862M. Zaskodny—851211113

LJul 17 · 14:10J. Rak—71181192M. Zaskodny—119119113

LJul 7 · 16:40J. Rak—911481M. Zaskodny—11711113

WJul 7 · 15:10J. Rak—111169113M. Zaskodny—68111152

WApr 19 · 15:10J. Rak—13169133M. Zaskodny—111411111

WApr 12 · 09:15J. Rak—131189113M. Zaskodny—119111182

WApr 12 · 07:10J. Rak—9131111113M. Zaskodny—11154692

J. Rak10

WSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak2.501711113F. Sikora1.4215480 WSep 6 · 12:10J. Rak2.101311113D. Sarganek1.6711860 WSep 6 · 10:40F. Sikora1.5012111591J. Rak2.50101317113 WSep 6 · 10:10R. Niezgoda1.5312971162J. Rak2.381011119113 LSep 3 · 17:20F. Sikora1.3611411113J. Rak3.00611861 WSep 3 · 16:10P. Vicherek1.83111091262J. Rak1.835121110113 WSep 3 · 15:10J. Rak2.3811116133R. Niezgoda1.539411111 LSep 3 · 13:40F. Sikora1.50101111113J. Rak2.50127351 WSep 1 · 24:15J. Gembala2.5051070J. Rak1.501112113 LAug 31 · 17:15P. Vicherek1.90141177113J. Rak1.75129111182

M. Zaskodny10

WSep 1 · 16:40D. Skulina2.63911118102M. Zaskodny1.44119511123 LSep 1 · 15:40M. Zaskodny1.44109111162J. Gembala2.63121189113 LSep 1 · 14:40M. Zaskodny2.10117881F. Chaloupka1.6781111113 LSep 1 · 13:40M. Zaskodny1.671015111592D. Skulina2.101213817113 WSep 1 · 01:15M. Zaskodny1.671111113J. Gembala2.106950 LAug 31 · 23:45P. Vicherek1.611313113M. Zaskodny2.20111170 WAug 31 · 16:45M. Zaskodny1.531111113J. Gembala2.388130 WAug 24 · 16:39M. Zaskodny1.9191111113D. Sarganek1.80119981 WAug 24 · 16:10D. Sarganek1.737490M. Zaskodny2.001111113 LAug 24 · 15:10M. Zaskodny2.2591311232P. Vicherek1.571111911113

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.