TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13001245
Played Aug 24Finished
David Sarganek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711411911––––
Marek Zaskodny
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:29 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeDavid Sarganek to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Sarganek above · Marek Zaskodny below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11 — our read held David Sarganek at 61.7%
53 points played in total.
H2H David Sarganek 24–17 Marek Zaskodny Marek Zaskodny has won 17 of their 41 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:29What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sarganek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-17 in 41
Sarganek
Wrong
gap of 7 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sarganek 1664 vs Zaskodny 1513
Sarganek
Wrong
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sarganek 40% vs Zaskodny 0%
Sarganek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sarganek 40% vs Zaskodny 10%
Sarganek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sarganek -1 · Zaskodny -5
Zaskodny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Sarganek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zaskodny form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSarganek 1.73 / Zaskodny 2.00
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Sarganek)+8.0pp
TT Cup · #13001245
Sarganek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 73 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it100% 38 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it86% 49 of 57
Zaskodny2.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 51 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSarganek5wins
AwayZaskodny5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSarganek66.7%2 of 3
AwayZaskodny57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sarganek3Zaskodny7n = 10Zaskodny took 7 of 10
S2Sarganek5Zaskodny5n = 10split evenly
S3Sarganek2Zaskodny8n = 10Zaskodny took 8 of 10
S4Sarganek5Zaskodny1n = 6Sarganek took 5 of 6
S5Sarganek2Zaskodny1n = 3Sarganek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSarganekZaskodnyS − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.036.6−2.6per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSarganekZaskodnyBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 465 vs 111 / 27052.7%41.1%245 / 465 vs 111 / 270Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SarganekSarganek 1.73/Zaskodny 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Sarganek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zaskodny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 18:15D. Sarganek—91511113M. Zaskodny—1113931
LAug 2 · 08:48D. Sarganek—9580M. Zaskodny—1111113
LAug 2 · 06:45D. Sarganek—6970M. Zaskodny—1111113
LAug 1 · 08:54D. Sarganek—10340M. Zaskodny—1211113
WAug 1 · 06:15D. Sarganek—41311113M. Zaskodny—1111981
WJul 30 · 21:25D. Sarganek—911711113M. Zaskodny—11411582
LJul 30 · 18:10D. Sarganek—11641172M. Zaskodny—411116113
WJul 28 · 20:15D. Sarganek—111414113M. Zaskodny—912111192
WJul 26 · 17:14D. Sarganek—11119113M. Zaskodny—731131
LJul 26 · 15:40D. Sarganek—6980M. Zaskodny—1111113
D. Sarganek10
WSep 6 · 12:39R. Niezgoda1.67119361D. Sarganek2.1091111113LSep 6 · 12:10J. Rak2.101311113D. Sarganek1.6711860LSep 6 · 11:10D. Sarganek2.20111081192R. Niezgoda1.61612117113LSep 6 · 09:40F. Sikora1.8311711113D. Sarganek1.83711991LAug 24 · 16:39M. Zaskodny1.9191111113D. Sarganek1.80119981LAug 24 · 14:40R. Niezgoda1.6191111113D. Sarganek2.20119291WAug 24 · 14:10P. Vicherek1.911111511D. Sarganek1.8011311113WAug 23 · 13:24F. Sikora2.005950D. Sarganek1.731111113LAug 23 · 12:15D. Sarganek1.67117111262J. Rak2.10411714113LAug 23 · 10:45F. Sikora1.8311111110113D. Sarganek1.8356131242
M. Zaskodny10
WSep 1 · 16:40D. Skulina2.63911118102M. Zaskodny1.44119511123LSep 1 · 15:40M. Zaskodny1.44109111162J. Gembala2.63121189113LSep 1 · 14:40M. Zaskodny2.10117881F. Chaloupka1.6781111113LSep 1 · 13:40M. Zaskodny1.671015111592D. Skulina2.101213817113WSep 1 · 01:15M. Zaskodny1.671111113J. Gembala2.106950LAug 31 · 23:45P. Vicherek1.611313113M. Zaskodny2.20111170LAug 31 · 23:15J. Rak1.6111913113M. Zaskodny2.209111181WAug 31 · 16:45M. Zaskodny1.531111113J. Gembala2.388130WAug 24 · 16:39M. Zaskodny1.9191111113D. Sarganek1.80119981LAug 24 · 15:10M. Zaskodny2.2591311232P. Vicherek1.571111911113
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