TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12480521
Played Aug 23Finished
Filip Sikora
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911511––––
David Sarganek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingFilip Sikora above · David Sarganek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 52 set 3, 5-11
52 points played in total.
H2H Filip Sikora 25–24 David Sarganek David Sarganek has won 24 of their 49 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sikora)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sarganek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikora 2.00 / Sarganek 1.73
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Sikora)+11.0pp
TT Cup · #12480521
Sikora2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog52% won 23 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back37% 7 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Sarganek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 73 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it100% 37 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it87% 48 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikora5wins
AwaySarganek5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikora100%5 of 5
AwaySarganek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikora5Sarganek5n = 10split evenly
S2Sikora6Sarganek4n = 10Sikora took 6 of 10
S3Sikora4Sarganek6n = 10Sarganek took 6 of 10
S4Sikora3Sarganek1n = 4Sikora took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikoraSarganekSikora − SarganekBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.630.5+1.1per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikoraSarganekBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 291 vs 243 / 46156%52.7%163 / 291 vs 243 / 461Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikoraSikora 2.00/Sarganek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Sikora · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sarganek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 16:10F. Sikora—5940D. Sarganek—1111113
WAug 5 · 14:10F. Sikora—11116113D. Sarganek—551181
WAug 2 · 05:45F. Sikora—1111113D. Sarganek—5580
LJul 25 · 07:40F. Sikora—711951D. Sarganek—11811113
WJul 16 · 16:39F. Sikora—11211113D. Sarganek—911571
LJul 16 · 14:40F. Sikora—51161182D. Sarganek—113115113
LJul 13 · 14:40F. Sikora—12880D. Sarganek—1411113
WJul 12 · 13:10F. Sikora—1111113D. Sarganek—8880
LJul 12 · 10:40F. Sikora—7980D. Sarganek—1111113
WJul 7 · 17:10F. Sikora—1111113D. Sarganek—5760
F. Sikora10
LSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak2.501711113F. Sikora1.4215480WSep 6 · 11:40F. Sikora1.6712114113R. Niezgoda2.101091191LSep 6 · 10:40F. Sikora1.5012111591J. Rak2.50101317113WSep 6 · 09:40F. Sikora1.8311711113D. Sarganek1.83711991WSep 3 · 17:20F. Sikora1.3611411113J. Rak3.00611861WSep 3 · 15:40F. Sikora1.731111113R. Niezgoda2.007880WSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora1.571111113P. Vicherek2.258590WSep 3 · 13:40F. Sikora1.50101111113J. Rak2.50127351WAug 25 · 17:23P. Vicherek1.658121621F. Sikora2.10111414113LAug 25 · 15:45F. Sikora1.9111651162P. Vicherek1.80611114113
D. Sarganek10
WSep 6 · 12:39R. Niezgoda1.67119361D. Sarganek2.1091111113LSep 6 · 12:10J. Rak2.101311113D. Sarganek1.6711860LSep 6 · 11:10D. Sarganek2.20111081192R. Niezgoda1.61612117113LSep 6 · 09:40F. Sikora1.8311711113D. Sarganek1.83711991LAug 24 · 16:39M. Zaskodny1.9191111113D. Sarganek1.80119981LAug 24 · 16:10D. Sarganek1.737490M. Zaskodny2.001111113LAug 24 · 14:40R. Niezgoda1.6191111113D. Sarganek2.20119291WAug 24 · 14:10P. Vicherek1.911111511D. Sarganek1.8011311113LAug 23 · 12:15D. Sarganek1.67117111262J. Rak2.10411714113LAug 23 · 10:45F. Sikora1.8311111110113D. Sarganek1.8356131242
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