TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084645
Played Sep 6Finished
Filip Sikora
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
121011131517911––
Jonas Rak
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:18 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeFilip Sikora to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFilip Sikora above · Jonas Rak below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 15-17
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 98 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Filip Sikora at 66.9%
98 points played in total.
H2H Filip Sikora 16–7 Jonas Rak Jonas Rak has won 7 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:18What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sikora
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-7 in 23
Sikora
Wrong
gap of 9 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikora 1844 vs Rak 1658
Sikora
Wrong
both rated, 186 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikora 100% vs Rak 60%
Sikora
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikora 80% vs Rak 60%
Sikora
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikora +5 · Rak -1
Sikora
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Sikora)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikora 1.50 / Rak 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Sikora)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13084645
Sikora1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 79 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it75% 58 of 77
Rak2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 21 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back36% 12 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikora8wins
AwayRak2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSikora leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikora85.7%6 of 7
AwayRak33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikora7Rak3n = 10Sikora took 7 of 10
S2Sikora5Rak5n = 10split evenly
S3Sikora6Rak4n = 10Sikora took 6 of 10
S4Sikora6Rak1n = 7Sikora took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikoraRakS − RBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.830.2+7.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikoraRakBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 301 vs 54 / 10856.8%50%171 / 301 vs 54 / 108Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikoraSikora 1.50/Rak 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Sikora · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 17:20F. Sikora—11411113J. Rak—611861
WSep 3 · 13:40F. Sikora—101111113J. Rak—127351
WAug 25 · 14:45F. Sikora—1111113J. Rak—9760
WAug 23 · 09:45F. Sikora—1111123J. Rak—36100
WAug 18 · 14:15F. Sikora—1110711123J. Rak—312117102
LAug 5 · 17:15F. Sikora—81080J. Rak—1112113
LAug 5 · 16:10F. Sikora—118851J. Rak—41111113
WJul 31 · 16:44F. Sikora—91111113J. Rak—116391
WJul 31 · 16:10F. Sikora—11611113J. Rak—811581
WJul 29 · 17:08F. Sikora—11118113J. Rak—361181
F. Sikora10
LSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak2.501711113F. Sikora1.4215480WSep 6 · 11:40F. Sikora1.6712114113R. Niezgoda2.101091191WSep 6 · 09:40F. Sikora1.8311711113D. Sarganek1.83711991WSep 3 · 17:20F. Sikora1.3611411113J. Rak3.00611861WSep 3 · 15:40F. Sikora1.731111113R. Niezgoda2.007880WSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora1.571111113P. Vicherek2.258590WSep 3 · 13:40F. Sikora1.50101111113J. Rak2.50127351WAug 25 · 17:23P. Vicherek1.658121621F. Sikora2.10111414113LAug 25 · 15:45F. Sikora1.9111651162P. Vicherek1.80611114113WAug 25 · 14:45F. Sikora1.531111113J. Rak2.389760
J. Rak10
WSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak2.501711113F. Sikora1.4215480WSep 6 · 12:10J. Rak2.101311113D. Sarganek1.6711860WSep 6 · 10:10R. Niezgoda1.5312971162J. Rak2.381011119113LSep 3 · 17:20F. Sikora1.3611411113J. Rak3.00611861WSep 3 · 16:10P. Vicherek1.83111091262J. Rak1.835121110113WSep 3 · 15:10J. Rak2.3811116133R. Niezgoda1.539411111LSep 3 · 13:40F. Sikora1.50101111113J. Rak2.50127351WSep 1 · 24:15J. Gembala2.5051070J. Rak1.501112113WAug 31 · 23:15J. Rak1.6111913113M. Zaskodny2.209111181LAug 25 · 14:45F. Sikora1.531111113J. Rak2.389760
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