TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13011593
Played Aug 25Finished
Filip Sikora
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117116––––
Jonas Rak
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:47 and never touched — 63.8% is still 63.8%
Graded at full timeFilip Sikora to win
63.8%
63.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Sikora above · Jonas Rak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 55 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Filip Sikora at 63.8%
55 points played in total.
H2H Filip Sikora 12–7 Jonas Rak Jonas Rak has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:47What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sikora
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-7 in 19
Sikora
Correct
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikora 1772 vs Rak 1662
Sikora
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikora 80% vs Rak 40%
Sikora
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikora 80% vs Rak 40%
Sikora
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikora +1 · Rak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Sikora)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikora form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikora 1.53 / Rak 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Sikora)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #13011593
Sikora1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 77 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it74% 57 of 77
Rak2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 20 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back40% 12 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back23% 3 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikora6wins
AwayRak4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSikora leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikora71.4%5 of 7
AwayRak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikora7Rak3n = 10Sikora took 7 of 10
S2Sikora5Rak5n = 10split evenly
S3Sikora5Rak5n = 10split evenly
S4Sikora4Rak3n = 7Sikora took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikoraRakS − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.634.2+4.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikoraRakBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 293 vs 48 / 9756%49.5%164 / 293 vs 48 / 97Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikoraSikora 1.53/Rak 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.8%
Sikora · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sikora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 14:15F. Sikora—1110711123J. Rak—312117102
LAug 5 · 17:15F. Sikora—81080J. Rak—1112113
LAug 5 · 16:10F. Sikora—118851J. Rak—41111113
WJul 31 · 16:44F. Sikora—91111113J. Rak—116391
WJul 31 · 16:10F. Sikora—11611113J. Rak—811581
WJul 29 · 17:08F. Sikora—11118113J. Rak—361181
LJul 29 · 15:40F. Sikora—8811121J. Rak—11114143
LJul 16 · 13:40F. Sikora—131166102J. Rak—1191111123
WJul 9 · 17:03F. Sikora—1111113J. Rak—7580
WJul 9 · 15:40F. Sikora—1115113J. Rak—81340
F. Sikora10
LSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak2.501711113F. Sikora1.4215480WSep 6 · 11:40F. Sikora1.6712114113R. Niezgoda2.101091191LSep 6 · 10:40F. Sikora1.5012111591J. Rak2.50101317113WSep 6 · 09:40F. Sikora1.8311711113D. Sarganek1.83711991WSep 3 · 17:20F. Sikora1.3611411113J. Rak3.00611861WSep 3 · 15:40F. Sikora1.731111113R. Niezgoda2.007880WSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora1.571111113P. Vicherek2.258590WSep 3 · 13:40F. Sikora1.50101111113J. Rak2.50127351WAug 25 · 17:23P. Vicherek1.658121621F. Sikora2.10111414113LAug 25 · 15:45F. Sikora1.9111651162P. Vicherek1.80611114113
J. Rak10
WSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak2.501711113F. Sikora1.4215480WSep 6 · 12:10J. Rak2.101311113D. Sarganek1.6711860WSep 6 · 10:40F. Sikora1.5012111591J. Rak2.50101317113WSep 6 · 10:10R. Niezgoda1.5312971162J. Rak2.381011119113LSep 3 · 17:20F. Sikora1.3611411113J. Rak3.00611861WSep 3 · 16:10P. Vicherek1.83111091262J. Rak1.835121110113WSep 3 · 15:10J. Rak2.3811116133R. Niezgoda1.539411111LSep 3 · 13:40F. Sikora1.50101111113J. Rak2.50127351WSep 1 · 24:15J. Gembala2.5051070J. Rak1.501112113WAug 31 · 23:15J. Rak1.6111913113M. Zaskodny2.209111181
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