TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13011563
Played Aug 25Finished
Filip Sikora
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116611511114611
Petr Vicherek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Sikora to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingFilip Sikora above · Petr Vicherek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 82 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Filip Sikora at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Filip Sikora 11–12 Petr Vicherek Filip Sikora has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:37What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vicherek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-12 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikora 1782 vs Vicherek 1696
Sikora
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikora 80% vs Vicherek 60%
Sikora
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikora 80% vs Vicherek 50%
Sikora
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikora +2 · Vicherek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sikora) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikora form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikora 1.91 / Vicherek 1.80
Signal prob.58% / 43%
Edge (Sikora)+9.0pp
TT Cup · #13011563
Sikora1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog51% won 23 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back35% 7 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Vicherek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 45 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it74% 31 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikora4wins
AwayVicherek6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVicherek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikora50%4 of 8
AwayVicherekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikora8Vicherek2n = 10Sikora took 8 of 10
S2Sikora6Vicherek4n = 10Sikora took 6 of 10
S3Sikora4Vicherek6n = 10Vicherek took 6 of 10
S4Sikora0Vicherek5n = 5Vicherek took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikoraVicherekS − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match34.535.3−0.8per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikoraVicherekBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 294 vs 153 / 32956.1%46.5%165 / 294 vs 153 / 329Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikoraSikora 1.91/Vicherek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.5%
Sikora · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vicherek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 14:10F. Sikora—1212143P. Vicherek—1010120
LAug 12 · 18:10F. Sikora—1113981P. Vicherek—61511113
LAug 7 · 20:10F. Sikora—5950P. Vicherek—1111113
LJul 21 · 15:40F. Sikora—116691P. Vicherek—91111113
LJun 26 · 18:10F. Sikora—8117111P. Vicherek—11711133
WJun 22 · 17:05F. Sikora—1211113P. Vicherek—10770
LJun 22 · 15:45F. Sikora—18112282P. Vicherek—1651111113
LJun 19 · 13:40F. Sikora—118961P. Vicherek—51111113
WMay 16 · 06:15F. Sikora—1111113P. Vicherek—5680
WMay 7 · 20:50F. Sikora—1111143P. Vicherek—68120
F. Sikora10
LSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak2.501711113F. Sikora1.4215480WSep 6 · 11:40F. Sikora1.6712114113R. Niezgoda2.101091191LSep 6 · 10:40F. Sikora1.5012111591J. Rak2.50101317113WSep 6 · 09:40F. Sikora1.8311711113D. Sarganek1.83711991WSep 3 · 17:20F. Sikora1.3611411113J. Rak3.00611861WSep 3 · 15:40F. Sikora1.731111113R. Niezgoda2.007880WSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora1.571111113P. Vicherek2.258590WSep 3 · 13:40F. Sikora1.50101111113J. Rak2.50127351WAug 25 · 17:23P. Vicherek1.658121621F. Sikora2.10111414113WAug 25 · 14:45F. Sikora1.531111113J. Rak2.389760
P. Vicherek10
LSep 3 · 16:50R. Niezgoda1.731111133P. Vicherek2.0078110LSep 3 · 16:10P. Vicherek1.83111091262J. Rak1.835121110113LSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora1.571111113P. Vicherek2.258590LSep 3 · 14:10R. Niezgoda1.70461111113P. Vicherek1.9111118642WAug 31 · 23:45P. Vicherek1.611313113M. Zaskodny2.20111170WAug 31 · 22:45P. Vicherek1.73118118113J. Gembala2.0041181192LAug 31 · 20:45P. Vicherek2.008880R. Kowal1.731111113LAug 31 · 19:45R. Niezgoda1.731111510113P. Vicherek2.0089111252WAug 31 · 19:15R. Kowal1.7367100P. Vicherek2.001111123LAug 25 · 17:23P. Vicherek1.658121621F. Sikora2.10111414113
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