TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13055382
Played Aug 31Finished
Petr Vicherek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811811––––
Rene Kowal
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingPetr Vicherek above · Rene Kowal below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11
57 points played in total.
H2H Petr Vicherek 18–23 Rene Kowal Petr Vicherek has won 18 of their 41 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kowal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowal form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVicherek 2.00 / Kowal 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kowal)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13055382
Vicherek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 57 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back27% 18 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back14% 5 of 36
Kowal1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite55% won 46 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it78% 31 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVicherek5wins
AwayKowal5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVicherek75%3 of 4
AwayKowal80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vicherek4Kowal5n = 9Kowal took 5 of 9
S2Vicherek5Kowal4n = 9Vicherek took 5 of 9
S3Vicherek4Kowal5n = 9Kowal took 5 of 9
S4Vicherek3Kowal3n = 6split evenly
S5Vicherek1Kowal2n = 3Kowal took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVicherekKowalV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match33.937.6−3.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVicherekKowalBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 339 vs 140 / 27947.2%50.2%160 / 339 vs 140 / 279Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalVicherek 2.00/Kowal 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Kowal · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kowal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 31 · 19:15P. Vicherek—1111123R. Kowal—67100
LAug 10 · 19:10P. Vicherek—11116922R. Kowal—961111113
WJul 22 · 19:45P. Vicherek—11118113R. Kowal—691181
WJul 15 · 19:40P. Vicherek—11411133R. Kowal—7117111
LJul 9 · 21:10P. Vicherek—7860R. Kowal—1111113
LJul 9 · 19:10P. Vicherek—811431R. Kowal—11911113
WJun 16 · 18:10P. Vicherek—811114113R. Kowal—11881172
LJun 10 · 18:10P. Vicherek—6470R. Kowal—1111113
LJun 8 · 19:40P. Vicherek—85111182R. Kowal—111174113
P. Vicherek10
LSep 3 · 16:50R. Niezgoda1.731111133P. Vicherek2.0078110LSep 3 · 16:10P. Vicherek1.83111091262J. Rak1.835121110113LSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora1.571111113P. Vicherek2.258590LSep 3 · 14:10R. Niezgoda1.70461111113P. Vicherek1.9111118642WAug 31 · 23:45P. Vicherek1.611313113M. Zaskodny2.20111170WAug 31 · 22:45P. Vicherek1.73118118113J. Gembala2.0041181192LAug 31 · 19:45R. Niezgoda1.731111510113P. Vicherek2.0089111252WAug 31 · 19:15R. Kowal1.7367100P. Vicherek2.001111123LAug 31 · 18:15P. Vicherek1.611091181A. Baros2.2012117113WAug 31 · 17:15P. Vicherek1.90141177113J. Rak1.75129111182
R. Kowal10
LAug 31 · 20:15A. Baros2.1011117113R. Kowal1.67961141LAug 31 · 19:15R. Kowal1.7367100P. Vicherek2.001111123LAug 31 · 17:45R. Niezgoda1.5311119113R. Kowal2.38681181LAug 26 · 20:45R. Kowal1.531111641A. Vitasek2.3813811113WAug 26 · 20:15R. Kowal1.8391111113A. Vitasek1.83116861LAug 26 · 18:45R. Niezgoda1.5311119113R. Kowal2.38941191LAug 26 · 18:15A. Baros2.101181111113R. Kowal1.6791113292LAug 10 · 21:10R. Niezgoda1.5341111113R. Kowal2.38112541WAug 10 · 20:10A. Baros2.10841151R. Kowal1.6711115113WAug 10 · 19:10R. Kowal1.67961111113P. Vicherek2.1011116922
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