TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13023143
Played Aug 26Finished
Rene Kowal
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113118611411––
Adam Vitasek
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingRene Kowal above · Adam Vitasek below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 75 set 4, 4-11
75 points played in total.
H2H Rene Kowal 2–1 Adam Vitasek Adam Vitasek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kowal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vitasek form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowal 1.53 / Vitasek 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kowal)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13023143
Kowal1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite55% won 47 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it78% 32 of 41
Vitasek2.38
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 6 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKowal2wins
AwayVitasek1wins
Kowal leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowal1Vitasek2n = 3Vitasek took 2 of 3
S2Kowal2Vitasek1n = 3Kowal took 2 of 3
S3Kowal2Vitasek1n = 3Kowal took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricKowalVitasekK − VBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match33.030.7+2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalVitasekBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 275 vs 32 / 7150.9%45.1%140 / 275 vs 32 / 71Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalKowal 1.53/Vitasek 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Kowal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vitasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 26 · 20:15R. Kowal—91111113A. Vitasek—116861
WApr 4 · 20:10R. Kowal—1112113A. Vitasek—81090
LApr 3 · 17:40R. Kowal—10760A. Vitasek—1211113
R. Kowal10
WAug 31 · 20:45P. Vicherek2.008880R. Kowal1.731111113LAug 31 · 20:15A. Baros2.1011117113R. Kowal1.67961141LAug 31 · 19:15R. Kowal1.7367100P. Vicherek2.001111123LAug 31 · 17:45R. Niezgoda1.5311119113R. Kowal2.38681181WAug 26 · 20:15R. Kowal1.8391111113A. Vitasek1.83116861LAug 26 · 18:45R. Niezgoda1.5311119113R. Kowal2.38941191LAug 26 · 18:15A. Baros2.101181111113R. Kowal1.6791113292LAug 10 · 21:10R. Niezgoda1.5341111113R. Kowal2.38112541WAug 10 · 20:10A. Baros2.10841151R. Kowal1.6711115113WAug 10 · 19:10R. Kowal1.67961111113P. Vicherek2.1011116922
A. Vitasek10
LAug 26 · 20:15R. Kowal1.8391111113A. Vitasek1.83116861LAug 26 · 19:15A. Vitasek1.8011712101A. Baros1.9181114123LAug 26 · 17:45R. Niezgoda1.5013128113A. Vitasek2.5011101191LJul 29 · 16:38A. Vitasek1.6111111491J. Gembala2.2061316113WJul 29 · 16:10A. Vitasek1.611211113J. Gembala2.2010990LJul 29 · 14:40F. Sikora1.7311126113A. Vitasek2.006101151LJul 29 · 14:10J. Rak1.5711311113A. Vitasek2.25611651LJul 12 · 08:40P. Vicherek1.721111113A. Vitasek2.004820LJul 12 · 08:10J. Rak1.601111173A. Vitasek2.1146150LJul 12 · 07:10A. Vitasek1.9011591152D. Sarganek1.80811118113
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