TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12321364
Played Jul 29Finished
Adam Vitasek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11611131416911––
Jan Gembala
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingAdam Vitasek above · Jan Gembala below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 91 set 4, 9-11
91 points played in total.
H2H Adam Vitasek 1–0 Jan Gembala Jan Gembala has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Vitasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gembala form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitasek 1.61 / Gembala 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Vitasek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12321364
Vitasek1.61
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite48% won 10 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it73% 8 of 11
Gembala2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog53% won 25 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back26% 5 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVitasek1wins
AwayGembala0wins
Vitasek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVitasekGembalaV − GBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.028.0+6.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitasekGembalaBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 67 vs 160 / 29546.3%54.2%31 / 67 vs 160 / 295Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitasekVitasek 1.61/Gembala 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Vitasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gembala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 29 · 16:10A. Vitasek—1211113J. Gembala—10990
A. Vitasek10
WAug 26 · 20:45R. Kowal1.531111641A. Vitasek2.3813811113LAug 26 · 20:15R. Kowal1.8391111113A. Vitasek1.83116861LAug 26 · 19:15A. Vitasek1.8011712101A. Baros1.9181114123LAug 26 · 17:45R. Niezgoda1.5013128113A. Vitasek2.5011101191WJul 29 · 16:10A. Vitasek1.611211113J. Gembala2.2010990LJul 29 · 14:40F. Sikora1.7311126113A. Vitasek2.006101151LJul 29 · 14:10J. Rak1.5711311113A. Vitasek2.25611651LJul 12 · 08:40P. Vicherek1.721111113A. Vitasek2.004820LJul 12 · 08:10J. Rak1.601111173A. Vitasek2.1146150LJul 12 · 07:10A. Vitasek1.9011591152D. Sarganek1.80811118113
J. Gembala10
WSep 6 · 09:25J. Gembala1.611111113D. Stusek2.206970WSep 6 · 07:40B. Moravec1.80611761J. Gembala1.9111211113WSep 6 · 07:10D. Stusek2.381210961J. Gembala1.53101211113WSep 6 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831111113F. Chaloupka1.831880WSep 1 · 17:09J. Gembala1.9112118113F. Chaloupka1.801091171WSep 1 · 15:40M. Zaskodny1.44109111162J. Gembala2.63121189113WSep 1 · 15:10D. Skulina2.254860J. Gembala1.571111113LSep 1 · 14:10J. Gembala1.831121171F. Chaloupka1.8371113113LSep 1 · 01:15M. Zaskodny1.671111113J. Gembala2.106950LJul 29 · 16:10A. Vitasek1.611211113J. Gembala2.2010990
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