TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12319141
Played Jul 29Finished
Adam Vitasek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210119119––––
Jan Gembala
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:47 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeAdam Vitasek to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Vitasek above · Jan Gembala below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 62 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Adam Vitasek at 57.7%
62 points played in total.
H2H Adam Vitasek 1–0 Jan Gembala Jan Gembala has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:47What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vitasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vitasek 1515 vs Gembala 1519
Gembala
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitasek 0% vs Gembala 20%
Gembala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitasek 0% vs Gembala 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitasek -5 · Gembala -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Vitasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gembala form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitasek 1.61 / Gembala 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Vitasek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12319141
Vitasek1.61
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite48% won 10 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it73% 8 of 11
Gembala2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog53% won 25 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back26% 5 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVitasek1wins
AwayGembala0wins
Vitasek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVitasekGembalaV − GBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.028.0+6.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitasekGembalaBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 68 vs 160 / 29647.1%54.1%32 / 68 vs 160 / 296Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitasekVitasek 1.61/Gembala 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Vitasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vitasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 29 · 16:10A. Vitasek—1211113J. Gembala—10990
A. Vitasek10
WAug 26 · 20:45R. Kowal1.531111641A. Vitasek2.3813811113LAug 26 · 20:15R. Kowal1.8391111113A. Vitasek1.83116861LAug 26 · 19:15A. Vitasek1.8011712101A. Baros1.9181114123LAug 26 · 17:45R. Niezgoda1.5013128113A. Vitasek2.5011101191LJul 29 · 16:38A. Vitasek1.6111111491J. Gembala2.2061316113LJul 29 · 14:40F. Sikora1.7311126113A. Vitasek2.006101151LJul 29 · 14:10J. Rak1.5711311113A. Vitasek2.25611651LJul 12 · 08:40P. Vicherek1.721111113A. Vitasek2.004820LJul 12 · 08:10J. Rak1.601111173A. Vitasek2.1146150LJul 12 · 07:10A. Vitasek1.9011591152D. Sarganek1.80811118113
J. Gembala10
WSep 6 · 09:25J. Gembala1.611111113D. Stusek2.206970WSep 6 · 07:40B. Moravec1.80611761J. Gembala1.9111211113WSep 6 · 07:10D. Stusek2.381210961J. Gembala1.53101211113WSep 6 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831111113F. Chaloupka1.831880WSep 1 · 17:09J. Gembala1.9112118113F. Chaloupka1.801091171WSep 1 · 15:40M. Zaskodny1.44109111162J. Gembala2.63121189113WSep 1 · 15:10D. Skulina2.254860J. Gembala1.571111113LSep 1 · 14:10J. Gembala1.831121171F. Chaloupka1.8371113113LSep 1 · 01:15M. Zaskodny1.671111113J. Gembala2.106950WJul 29 · 16:38A. Vitasek1.6111111491J. Gembala2.2061316113
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