TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12319128
Played Jul 29Finished
Filip Sikora
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161210611115––
Adam Vitasek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Sikora to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Sikora above · Adam Vitasek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 72 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Filip Sikora at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Filip Sikora 3–0 Adam Vitasek Adam Vitasek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:46What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sikora
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Sikora
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikora 1666 vs Vitasek 1507
Sikora
Correct
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikora 60% vs Vitasek 0%
Sikora
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikora 40% vs Vitasek 10%
Sikora
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikora +2 · Vitasek -5
Vitasek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sikora)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vitasek form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikora 1.73 / Vitasek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sikora)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #12319128
Sikora1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 63 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it70% 46 of 66
Vitasek2.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 6 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 6
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSikora3wins
AwayVitasek0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSikora leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikora1Vitasek2n = 3Vitasek took 2 of 3
S2Sikora3Vitasek0n = 3Sikora took 3 of 3
S3Sikora2Vitasek1n = 3Sikora took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSikoraVitasekS − VBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match42.030.7+11.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikoraVitasekBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 257 vs 31 / 6654.9%47%141 / 257 vs 31 / 66Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikoraSikora 1.73/Vitasek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sikora · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sikora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJun 21 · 06:10F. Sikora—51111113A. Vitasek—119771
WMay 24 · 06:10F. Sikora—1114113A. Vitasek—41230
WMar 22 · 07:40F. Sikora—9111011113A. Vitasek—11612822
F. Sikora10
LSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak2.501711113F. Sikora1.4215480WSep 6 · 11:40F. Sikora1.6712114113R. Niezgoda2.101091191LSep 6 · 10:40F. Sikora1.5012111591J. Rak2.50101317113WSep 6 · 09:40F. Sikora1.8311711113D. Sarganek1.83711991WSep 3 · 17:20F. Sikora1.3611411113J. Rak3.00611861WSep 3 · 15:40F. Sikora1.731111113R. Niezgoda2.007880WSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora1.571111113P. Vicherek2.258590WSep 3 · 13:40F. Sikora1.50101111113J. Rak2.50127351WAug 25 · 17:23P. Vicherek1.658121621F. Sikora2.10111414113LAug 25 · 15:45F. Sikora1.9111651162P. Vicherek1.80611114113
A. Vitasek10
WAug 26 · 20:45R. Kowal1.531111641A. Vitasek2.3813811113LAug 26 · 20:15R. Kowal1.8391111113A. Vitasek1.83116861LAug 26 · 19:15A. Vitasek1.8011712101A. Baros1.9181114123LAug 26 · 17:45R. Niezgoda1.5013128113A. Vitasek2.5011101191LJul 29 · 16:38A. Vitasek1.6111111491J. Gembala2.2061316113WJul 29 · 16:10A. Vitasek1.611211113J. Gembala2.2010990LJul 29 · 14:10J. Rak1.5711311113A. Vitasek2.25611651LJul 12 · 08:40P. Vicherek1.721111113A. Vitasek2.004820LJul 12 · 08:10J. Rak1.601111173A. Vitasek2.1146150LJul 12 · 07:10A. Vitasek1.9011591152D. Sarganek1.80811118113
Upcoming Matches
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A. Vitasek
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