TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13085105
Played Sep 6Finished
Filip Sikora
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210119411119––
Rostislav Niezgoda
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:39 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeFilip Sikora to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingFilip Sikora above · Rostislav Niezgoda below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Filip Sikora at 58.6%
77 points played in total.
H2H Filip Sikora 34–29 Rostislav Niezgoda Rostislav Niezgoda has won 29 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sikora
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-29 in 63
Sikora
Correct
gap of 5 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikora 1827 vs Niezgoda 1795
Sikora
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikora 80% vs Niezgoda 40%
Sikora
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikora 80% vs Niezgoda 60%
Sikora
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikora -1 · Niezgoda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sikora)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikora form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikora 1.67 / Niezgoda 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Sikora)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13085105
Sikora1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite60% won 79 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it75% 58 of 77
Niezgoda2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 19 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back22% 6 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikora8wins
AwayNiezgoda2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSikora leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikora77.8%7 of 9
AwayNiezgodan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikora9Niezgoda1n = 10Sikora took 9 of 10
S2Sikora8Niezgoda2n = 10Sikora took 8 of 10
S3Sikora6Niezgoda4n = 10Sikora took 6 of 10
S4Sikora3Niezgoda2n = 5Sikora took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikoraNiezgodaS − NBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.830.6+7.2per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikoraNiezgodaBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 302 vs 290 / 49856.6%58.2%171 / 302 vs 290 / 498Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikoraSikora 1.67/Niezgoda 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Sikora · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sikora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 15:40F. Sikora—1111113R. Niezgoda—7880
WAug 23 · 11:45F. Sikora—11118113R. Niezgoda—641171
WAug 18 · 17:25F. Sikora—1111113R. Niezgoda—6690
LAug 18 · 14:45F. Sikora—121011952R. Niezgoda—1012811113
WAug 17 · 14:40F. Sikora—1111113R. Niezgoda—5970
LAug 12 · 19:40F. Sikora—1110871R. Niezgoda—91211113
WAug 7 · 21:05F. Sikora—1111113R. Niezgoda—9880
WAug 7 · 18:40F. Sikora—11135113R. Niezgoda—5111191
WAug 5 · 14:40F. Sikora—1111113R. Niezgoda—8780
WAug 2 · 09:19F. Sikora—911711113R. Niezgoda—11511342
F. Sikora10
LSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak2.501711113F. Sikora1.4215480LSep 6 · 10:40F. Sikora1.5012111591J. Rak2.50101317113WSep 6 · 09:40F. Sikora1.8311711113D. Sarganek1.83711991WSep 3 · 17:20F. Sikora1.3611411113J. Rak3.00611861WSep 3 · 15:40F. Sikora1.731111113R. Niezgoda2.007880WSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora1.571111113P. Vicherek2.258590WSep 3 · 13:40F. Sikora1.50101111113J. Rak2.50127351WAug 25 · 17:23P. Vicherek1.658121621F. Sikora2.10111414113LAug 25 · 15:45F. Sikora1.9111651162P. Vicherek1.80611114113WAug 25 · 14:45F. Sikora1.531111113J. Rak2.389760
R. Niezgoda10
LSep 6 · 12:39R. Niezgoda1.67119361D. Sarganek2.1091111113WSep 6 · 11:10D. Sarganek2.20111081192R. Niezgoda1.61612117113LSep 6 · 10:10R. Niezgoda1.5312971162J. Rak2.381011119113WSep 3 · 16:50R. Niezgoda1.731111133P. Vicherek2.0078110LSep 3 · 15:40F. Sikora1.731111113R. Niezgoda2.007880LSep 3 · 15:10J. Rak2.3811116133R. Niezgoda1.539411111WSep 3 · 14:10R. Niezgoda1.70461111113P. Vicherek1.9111118642LAug 31 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.325780A. Baros2.901111113WAug 31 · 19:45R. Niezgoda1.731111510113P. Vicherek2.0089111252WAug 31 · 18:45R. Niezgoda1.441181011113A. Baros2.6371112872
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