TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13087373
Played Sep 6Finished
Rostislav Niezgoda
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119911311611––
David Sarganek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingRostislav Niezgoda above · David Sarganek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 71 set 4, 6-11
71 points played in total.
H2H Rostislav Niezgoda 50–40 David Sarganek David Sarganek has won 40 of their 90 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Niezgoda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sarganek form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNiezgoda 1.67 / Sarganek 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Niezgoda)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13087373
Niezgoda1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 158 of 251
Up 2–0, closes it96% 88 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it81% 117 of 144
Sarganek2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 73 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back27% 21 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNiezgoda7wins
AwaySarganek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderNiezgoda leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNiezgoda100%6 of 6
AwaySarganek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Niezgoda6Sarganek4n = 10Niezgoda took 6 of 10
S2Niezgoda9Sarganek1n = 10Niezgoda took 9 of 10
S3Niezgoda6Sarganek4n = 10Niezgoda took 6 of 10
S4Niezgoda5Sarganek3n = 8Niezgoda took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNiezgodaSarganekN − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.336.8+3.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNiezgodaSarganekBasisWin rate · lifetime291 / 500 vs 245 / 47058.2%52.1%291 / 500 vs 245 / 470Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NiezgodaNiezgoda 1.67/Sarganek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Niezgoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sarganek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 14:40R. Niezgoda—91111113D. Sarganek—119291
LAug 23 · 10:15R. Niezgoda—10111091D. Sarganek—12712113
WAug 20 · 18:45R. Niezgoda—11119113D. Sarganek—991181
LAug 17 · 13:40R. Niezgoda—111111182D. Sarganek—136411113
WAug 5 · 16:43R. Niezgoda—1111133D. Sarganek—97110
WAug 5 · 15:40R. Niezgoda—1114123D. Sarganek—912100
WAug 4 · 17:08R. Niezgoda—131111113D. Sarganek—1113691
WAug 4 · 14:40R. Niezgoda—111110113D. Sarganek—781241
LAug 2 · 07:45R. Niezgoda—71111532D. Sarganek—119611113
WAug 1 · 07:45R. Niezgoda—13114113D. Sarganek—1161191
R. Niezgoda10
LSep 6 · 11:40F. Sikora1.6712114113R. Niezgoda2.101091191WSep 6 · 11:10D. Sarganek2.20111081192R. Niezgoda1.61612117113LSep 6 · 10:10R. Niezgoda1.5312971162J. Rak2.381011119113WSep 3 · 16:50R. Niezgoda1.731111133P. Vicherek2.0078110LSep 3 · 15:40F. Sikora1.731111113R. Niezgoda2.007880LSep 3 · 15:10J. Rak2.3811116133R. Niezgoda1.539411111WSep 3 · 14:10R. Niezgoda1.70461111113P. Vicherek1.9111118642LAug 31 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.325780A. Baros2.901111113WAug 31 · 19:45R. Niezgoda1.731111510113P. Vicherek2.0089111252WAug 31 · 18:45R. Niezgoda1.441181011113A. Baros2.6371112872
D. Sarganek10
LSep 6 · 12:10J. Rak2.101311113D. Sarganek1.6711860LSep 6 · 11:10D. Sarganek2.20111081192R. Niezgoda1.61612117113LSep 6 · 09:40F. Sikora1.8311711113D. Sarganek1.83711991LAug 24 · 16:39M. Zaskodny1.9191111113D. Sarganek1.80119981LAug 24 · 16:10D. Sarganek1.737490M. Zaskodny2.001111113LAug 24 · 14:40R. Niezgoda1.6191111113D. Sarganek2.20119291WAug 24 · 14:10P. Vicherek1.911111511D. Sarganek1.8011311113WAug 23 · 13:24F. Sikora2.005950D. Sarganek1.731111113LAug 23 · 12:15D. Sarganek1.67117111262J. Rak2.10411714113LAug 23 · 10:45F. Sikora1.8311111110113D. Sarganek1.8356131242
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