TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13004374
Played Aug 24Finished
Marek Zaskodny
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911119119118––
David Sarganek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMarek Zaskodny above · David Sarganek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 79 set 4, 11-8
79 points played in total.
H2H Marek Zaskodny 17–24 David Sarganek Marek Zaskodny has won 17 of their 41 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Sarganek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sarganek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaskodny 1.91 / Sarganek 1.80
Signal prob.41% / 60%
Edge (Sarganek)+8.0pp
TT Cup · #13004374
Zaskodny1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 51 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Sarganek1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 73 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it100% 38 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it86% 49 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZaskodny5wins
AwaySarganek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZaskodny57.1%4 of 7
AwaySarganek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zaskodny7Sarganek3n = 10Zaskodny took 7 of 10
S2Zaskodny5Sarganek5n = 10split evenly
S3Zaskodny8Sarganek2n = 10Zaskodny took 8 of 10
S4Zaskodny1Sarganek5n = 6Sarganek took 5 of 6
S5Zaskodny1Sarganek2n = 3Sarganek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZaskodnySarganekZ − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.634.0+2.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaskodnySarganekBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 271 vs 245 / 46641.3%52.6%112 / 271 vs 245 / 466Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.735.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SarganekZaskodny 1.91/Sarganek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.5%
Sarganek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zaskodny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 18:15M. Zaskodny—1113931D. Sarganek—91511113
WAug 2 · 08:48M. Zaskodny—1111113D. Sarganek—9580
WAug 2 · 06:45M. Zaskodny—1111113D. Sarganek—6970
WAug 1 · 08:54M. Zaskodny—1211113D. Sarganek—10340
LAug 1 · 06:15M. Zaskodny—1111981D. Sarganek—41311113
LJul 30 · 21:25M. Zaskodny—11411582D. Sarganek—911711113
WJul 30 · 18:10M. Zaskodny—411116113D. Sarganek—11641172
LJul 28 · 20:15M. Zaskodny—912111192D. Sarganek—111414113
LJul 26 · 17:14M. Zaskodny—731131D. Sarganek—11119113
WJul 26 · 15:40M. Zaskodny—1111113D. Sarganek—6980
M. Zaskodny10
WSep 1 · 16:40D. Skulina2.63911118102M. Zaskodny1.44119511123LSep 1 · 15:40M. Zaskodny1.44109111162J. Gembala2.63121189113LSep 1 · 14:40M. Zaskodny2.10117881F. Chaloupka1.6781111113LSep 1 · 13:40M. Zaskodny1.671015111592D. Skulina2.101213817113WSep 1 · 01:15M. Zaskodny1.671111113J. Gembala2.106950LAug 31 · 23:45P. Vicherek1.611313113M. Zaskodny2.20111170LAug 31 · 23:15J. Rak1.6111913113M. Zaskodny2.209111181WAug 31 · 16:45M. Zaskodny1.531111113J. Gembala2.388130WAug 24 · 16:10D. Sarganek1.737490M. Zaskodny2.001111113LAug 24 · 15:10M. Zaskodny2.2591311232P. Vicherek1.571111911113
D. Sarganek10
WSep 6 · 12:39R. Niezgoda1.67119361D. Sarganek2.1091111113LSep 6 · 12:10J. Rak2.101311113D. Sarganek1.6711860LSep 6 · 11:10D. Sarganek2.20111081192R. Niezgoda1.61612117113LSep 6 · 09:40F. Sikora1.8311711113D. Sarganek1.83711991LAug 24 · 16:10D. Sarganek1.737490M. Zaskodny2.001111113LAug 24 · 14:40R. Niezgoda1.6191111113D. Sarganek2.20119291WAug 24 · 14:10P. Vicherek1.911111511D. Sarganek1.8011311113WAug 23 · 13:24F. Sikora2.005950D. Sarganek1.731111113LAug 23 · 12:15D. Sarganek1.67117111262J. Rak2.10411714113LAug 23 · 10:45F. Sikora1.8311111110113D. Sarganek1.8356131242
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