TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13001673
Played Aug 24Finished
Marek Zaskodny
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111311119211311
Petr Vicherek
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:58 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timePetr Vicherek to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Zaskodny above · Petr Vicherek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 91 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Petr Vicherek at 66.9%
91 points played in total.
H2H Marek Zaskodny 10–17 Petr Vicherek Marek Zaskodny has won 10 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:58What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vicherek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-17 in 27
Vicherek
Correct
gap of 7 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zaskodny 1519 vs Vicherek 1673
Vicherek
Correct
both rated, 154 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zaskodny 0% vs Vicherek 40%
Vicherek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zaskodny 10% vs Vicherek 50%
Vicherek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zaskodny -5 · Vicherek -1
Zaskodny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Vicherek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vicherek form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaskodny 2.25 / Vicherek 1.57
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Vicherek)+8.0pp
TT Cup · #13001673
Zaskodny2.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 51 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Vicherek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 44 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it73% 30 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZaskodny1wins
AwayVicherek9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVicherek leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZaskodny20%1 of 5
AwayVicherek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zaskodny5Vicherek5n = 10split evenly
S2Zaskodny3Vicherek7n = 10Vicherek took 7 of 10
S3Zaskodny4Vicherek6n = 10Vicherek took 6 of 10
S4Zaskodny1Vicherek5n = 6Vicherek took 5 of 6
S5Zaskodny0Vicherek4n = 4Vicherek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZaskodnyVicherekZ − VBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.439.7−7.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaskodnyVicherekBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 269 vs 150 / 32441.3%46.3%111 / 269 vs 150 / 324Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VicherekZaskodny 2.25/Vicherek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Vicherek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vicherek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 20:43M. Zaskodny—51111692P. Vicherek—119511113
LAug 18 · 18:45M. Zaskodny—5710P. Vicherek—1111113
LAug 14 · 19:40M. Zaskodny—11391192P. Vicherek—811118113
LAug 13 · 20:35M. Zaskodny—411971P. Vicherek—11511113
LAug 13 · 18:10M. Zaskodny—11313282P. Vicherek—9111111113
LAug 12 · 20:10M. Zaskodny—1197111P. Vicherek—71111133
LAug 7 · 20:33M. Zaskodny—4580P. Vicherek—1111113
WAug 7 · 19:10M. Zaskodny—1111113P. Vicherek—9580
LAug 6 · 21:20M. Zaskodny—104100P. Vicherek—1211123
LAug 6 · 20:10M. Zaskodny—11911692P. Vicherek—411811113
M. Zaskodny10
WSep 1 · 16:40D. Skulina2.63911118102M. Zaskodny1.44119511123LSep 1 · 15:40M. Zaskodny1.44109111162J. Gembala2.63121189113LSep 1 · 14:40M. Zaskodny2.10117881F. Chaloupka1.6781111113LSep 1 · 13:40M. Zaskodny1.671015111592D. Skulina2.101213817113WSep 1 · 01:15M. Zaskodny1.671111113J. Gembala2.106950LAug 31 · 23:45P. Vicherek1.611313113M. Zaskodny2.20111170LAug 31 · 23:15J. Rak1.6111913113M. Zaskodny2.209111181WAug 31 · 16:45M. Zaskodny1.531111113J. Gembala2.388130WAug 24 · 16:39M. Zaskodny1.9191111113D. Sarganek1.80119981WAug 24 · 16:10D. Sarganek1.737490M. Zaskodny2.001111113
P. Vicherek10
LSep 3 · 16:50R. Niezgoda1.731111133P. Vicherek2.0078110LSep 3 · 16:10P. Vicherek1.83111091262J. Rak1.835121110113LSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora1.571111113P. Vicherek2.258590LSep 3 · 14:10R. Niezgoda1.70461111113P. Vicherek1.9111118642WAug 31 · 23:45P. Vicherek1.611313113M. Zaskodny2.20111170WAug 31 · 22:45P. Vicherek1.73118118113J. Gembala2.0041181192LAug 31 · 20:45P. Vicherek2.008880R. Kowal1.731111113LAug 31 · 19:45R. Niezgoda1.731111510113P. Vicherek2.0089111252WAug 31 · 19:15R. Kowal1.7367100P. Vicherek2.001111123LAug 31 · 18:15P. Vicherek1.611091181A. Baros2.2012117113
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