TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13051630
Played Aug 31Finished
Petr Vicherek
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012911117811––
Antonin Baros
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:25 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timePetr Vicherek to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Vicherek above · Antonin Baros below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 79 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Petr Vicherek at 58.1%
79 points played in total.
H2H Petr Vicherek 23–23 Antonin Baros Dead even across their 46 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:25What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vicherek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-23 in 46
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vicherek 1744 vs Baros 1652
Vicherek
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vicherek 80% vs Baros 60%
Vicherek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vicherek 70% vs Baros 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vicherek +3 · Baros -2
Vicherek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Vicherek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baros form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVicherek 1.61 / Baros 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Vicherek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13051630
Vicherek1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 43 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it73% 30 of 41
Baros2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 56 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVicherek4wins
AwayBaros6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBaros leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVicherek60%3 of 5
AwayBaros80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vicherek5Baros5n = 10split evenly
S2Vicherek5Baros5n = 10split evenly
S3Vicherek7Baros3n = 10Vicherek took 7 of 10
S4Vicherek1Baros6n = 7Baros took 6 of 7
S5Vicherek1Baros2n = 3Baros took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVicherekBarosV − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.938.0−1.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVicherekBarosBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 339 vs 178 / 38247.2%46.6%160 / 339 vs 178 / 382Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VicherekVicherek 1.61/Baros 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Vicherek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Baros won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 19:15P. Vicherek—961171A. Baros—11118113
LAug 18 · 17:45P. Vicherek—159261A. Baros—131111113
WAug 14 · 21:10P. Vicherek—1111113A. Baros—8850
LAug 14 · 18:40P. Vicherek—3880A. Baros—1111113
LAug 13 · 19:10P. Vicherek—911381A. Baros—11811113
WAug 10 · 20:40P. Vicherek—1114113A. Baros—61250
LAug 10 · 18:10P. Vicherek—1311115102A. Baros—156811123
WJul 22 · 19:15P. Vicherek—61111113A. Baros—115241
WJul 17 · 17:15P. Vicherek—128117123A. Baros—1011911102
LJul 17 · 13:40P. Vicherek—117111162A. Baros—811713113
P. Vicherek10
LSep 3 · 16:50R. Niezgoda1.731111133P. Vicherek2.0078110LSep 3 · 16:10P. Vicherek1.83111091262J. Rak1.835121110113LSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora1.571111113P. Vicherek2.258590LSep 3 · 14:10R. Niezgoda1.70461111113P. Vicherek1.9111118642WAug 31 · 23:45P. Vicherek1.611313113M. Zaskodny2.20111170WAug 31 · 22:45P. Vicherek1.73118118113J. Gembala2.0041181192LAug 31 · 20:45P. Vicherek2.008880R. Kowal1.731111113LAug 31 · 19:45R. Niezgoda1.731111510113P. Vicherek2.0089111252WAug 31 · 19:15R. Kowal1.7367100P. Vicherek2.001111123WAug 31 · 17:15P. Vicherek1.90141177113J. Rak1.75129111182
A. Baros10
WAug 31 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.325780A. Baros2.901111113WAug 31 · 20:15A. Baros2.1011117113R. Kowal1.67961141LAug 31 · 18:45R. Niezgoda1.441181011113A. Baros2.6371112872LAug 26 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.611111133A. Baros2.2069110LAug 26 · 19:45R. Niezgoda1.4411411113A. Baros2.63811861WAug 26 · 19:15A. Vitasek1.8011712101A. Baros1.9181114123WAug 26 · 18:15A. Baros2.101181111113R. Kowal1.6791113292WAug 20 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.53112761A. Baros2.3891111113WAug 20 · 20:15D. Sarganek1.4067120A. Baros2.751111143WAug 20 · 19:15A. Baros2.2511118113P. Vicherek1.57961171
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