TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12464410
Played Aug 20Finished
David Sarganek
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6117111214––––
Antonin Baros
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:46 and never touched — 74.3% is still 74.3%
Graded at full timeDavid Sarganek to win
74.3%
74.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Sarganek above · Antonin Baros below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 62 set 3, 12-14 — our read held David Sarganek at 74.3%
62 points played in total.
H2H David Sarganek 36–21 Antonin Baros Antonin Baros has won 21 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:46What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Sarganek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-21 in 57
Sarganek
Wrong
gap of 15 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sarganek 1692 vs Baros 1595
Sarganek
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sarganek 80% vs Baros 40%
Sarganek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sarganek 80% vs Baros 50%
Sarganek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sarganek -1 · Baros +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Sarganek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSarganek 1.40 / Baros 2.75
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Sarganek)+8.0pp
TT Cup · #12464410
Sarganek1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 72 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it100% 37 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it87% 48 of 55
Baros2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 56 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSarganek9wins
AwayBaros1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSarganek leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSarganek100%6 of 6
AwayBaros25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sarganek6Baros4n = 10Sarganek took 6 of 10
S2Sarganek8Baros2n = 10Sarganek took 8 of 10
S3Sarganek7Baros3n = 10Sarganek took 7 of 10
S4Sarganek3Baros1n = 4Sarganek took 3 of 4
S5Sarganek3Baros0n = 3Sarganek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSarganekBarosS − BBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.429.7+6.7per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSarganekBarosBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 457 vs 172 / 37353%46.1%242 / 457 vs 172 / 373Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SarganekSarganek 1.40/Baros 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.3%
Sarganek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Baros won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 19:15D. Sarganek—811411113A. Baros—11611892
LJul 22 · 20:15D. Sarganek—37100A. Baros—1111123
WJul 21 · 19:10D. Sarganek—1111113A. Baros—9650
WJul 18 · 19:15D. Sarganek—1111113A. Baros—8760
WJul 15 · 20:10D. Sarganek—1111113A. Baros—6660
WJul 2 · 17:40D. Sarganek—591411113A. Baros—111112552
WJun 23 · 18:10D. Sarganek—811115113A. Baros—11741192
WJun 19 · 18:40D. Sarganek—1111113A. Baros—8370
WJun 17 · 16:50D. Sarganek—11113113A. Baros—581181
WJun 17 · 15:15D. Sarganek—1113113A. Baros—91130
D. Sarganek10
WSep 6 · 12:39R. Niezgoda1.67119361D. Sarganek2.1091111113LSep 6 · 12:10J. Rak2.101311113D. Sarganek1.6711860LSep 6 · 11:10D. Sarganek2.20111081192R. Niezgoda1.61612117113LSep 6 · 09:40F. Sikora1.8311711113D. Sarganek1.83711991LAug 24 · 16:39M. Zaskodny1.9191111113D. Sarganek1.80119981LAug 24 · 16:10D. Sarganek1.737490M. Zaskodny2.001111113LAug 24 · 14:40R. Niezgoda1.6191111113D. Sarganek2.20119291WAug 24 · 14:10P. Vicherek1.911111511D. Sarganek1.8011311113WAug 23 · 13:24F. Sikora2.005950D. Sarganek1.731111113LAug 23 · 12:15D. Sarganek1.67117111262J. Rak2.10411714113
A. Baros10
WAug 31 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.325780A. Baros2.901111113WAug 31 · 20:15A. Baros2.1011117113R. Kowal1.67961141LAug 31 · 18:45R. Niezgoda1.441181011113A. Baros2.6371112872WAug 31 · 18:15P. Vicherek1.611091181A. Baros2.2012117113LAug 26 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.611111133A. Baros2.2069110LAug 26 · 19:45R. Niezgoda1.4411411113A. Baros2.63811861WAug 26 · 19:15A. Vitasek1.8011712101A. Baros1.9181114123WAug 26 · 18:15A. Baros2.101181111113R. Kowal1.6791113292WAug 20 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.53112761A. Baros2.3891111113WAug 20 · 19:15A. Baros2.2511118113P. Vicherek1.57961171
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