TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12464417
Played Aug 20Finished
Antonin Baros
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119116811117––
Petr Vicherek
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:47 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timePetr Vicherek to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAntonin Baros above · Petr Vicherek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Petr Vicherek at 61.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Antonin Baros 22–23 Petr Vicherek Antonin Baros has won 22 of their 45 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:47What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vicherek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-23 in 45
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Baros 1579 vs Vicherek 1674
Vicherek
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baros 40% vs Vicherek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baros 40% vs Vicherek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Baros -2 · Vicherek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Vicherek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vicherek form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaros 2.25 / Vicherek 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Vicherek)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12464417
Baros2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 56 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Vicherek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 44 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it73% 30 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBaros5wins
AwayVicherek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaros75%3 of 4
AwayVicherek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baros4Vicherek6n = 10Vicherek took 6 of 10
S2Baros4Vicherek6n = 10Vicherek took 6 of 10
S3Baros3Vicherek7n = 10Vicherek took 7 of 10
S4Baros5Vicherek1n = 6Baros took 5 of 6
S5Baros2Vicherek1n = 3Baros took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBarosVicherekB − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.637.0−1.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBarosVicherekBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 372 vs 148 / 32046%46.3%171 / 372 vs 148 / 320Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VicherekBaros 2.25/Vicherek 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.9%
Vicherek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Baros won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 17:45A. Baros—131111113P. Vicherek—159261
LAug 14 · 21:10A. Baros—8850P. Vicherek—1111113
WAug 14 · 18:40A. Baros—1111113P. Vicherek—3880
WAug 13 · 19:10A. Baros—11811113P. Vicherek—911381
LAug 10 · 20:40A. Baros—61250P. Vicherek—1114113
WAug 10 · 18:10A. Baros—156811123P. Vicherek—1311115102
LJul 22 · 19:15A. Baros—115241P. Vicherek—61111113
LJul 17 · 17:15A. Baros—1011911102P. Vicherek—128117123
WJul 17 · 13:40A. Baros—811713113P. Vicherek—117111162
LJul 15 · 20:35A. Baros—10250P. Vicherek—1211113
A. Baros10
WAug 31 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.325780A. Baros2.901111113WAug 31 · 20:15A. Baros2.1011117113R. Kowal1.67961141LAug 31 · 18:45R. Niezgoda1.441181011113A. Baros2.6371112872WAug 31 · 18:15P. Vicherek1.611091181A. Baros2.2012117113LAug 26 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.611111133A. Baros2.2069110LAug 26 · 19:45R. Niezgoda1.4411411113A. Baros2.63811861WAug 26 · 19:15A. Vitasek1.8011712101A. Baros1.9181114123WAug 26 · 18:15A. Baros2.101181111113R. Kowal1.6791113292WAug 20 · 21:15R. Niezgoda1.53112761A. Baros2.3891111113WAug 20 · 20:15D. Sarganek1.4067120A. Baros2.751111143
P. Vicherek10
LSep 3 · 16:50R. Niezgoda1.731111133P. Vicherek2.0078110LSep 3 · 16:10P. Vicherek1.83111091262J. Rak1.835121110113LSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora1.571111113P. Vicherek2.258590LSep 3 · 14:10R. Niezgoda1.70461111113P. Vicherek1.9111118642WAug 31 · 23:45P. Vicherek1.611313113M. Zaskodny2.20111170WAug 31 · 22:45P. Vicherek1.73118118113J. Gembala2.0041181192LAug 31 · 20:45P. Vicherek2.008880R. Kowal1.731111113LAug 31 · 19:45R. Niezgoda1.731111510113P. Vicherek2.0089111252WAug 31 · 19:15R. Kowal1.7367100P. Vicherek2.001111123LAug 31 · 18:15P. Vicherek1.611091181A. Baros2.2012117113
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