TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084427
Played Sep 6Finished
Filip Sikora
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117711119119––
David Sarganek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Sikora to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingFilip Sikora above · David Sarganek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Filip Sikora at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Filip Sikora 27–25 David Sarganek David Sarganek has won 25 of their 52 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:20What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sarganek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-25 in 52
Sikora
Correct
gap of 2 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikora 1839 vs Sarganek 1629
Sikora
Correct
both rated, 210 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikora 100% vs Sarganek 40%
Sikora
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikora 80% vs Sarganek 30%
Sikora
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikora +5 · Sarganek -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sikora)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sarganek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikora 1.83 / Sarganek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sikora)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13084427
Sikora1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Sarganek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikora5wins
AwaySarganek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikora100%5 of 5
AwaySarganek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikora5Sarganek5n = 10split evenly
S2Sikora6Sarganek4n = 10Sikora took 6 of 10
S3Sikora3Sarganek7n = 10Sarganek took 7 of 10
S4Sikora3Sarganek2n = 5Sikora took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikoraSarganekSikora − SarganekBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.232.3+0.9per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikoraSarganekBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 300 vs 245 / 46756.7%52.5%170 / 300 vs 245 / 467Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikoraSikora 1.83/Sarganek 1.83
Hit
What we said
54%
Sikora · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sikora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 13:24F. Sikora—5950D. Sarganek—1111113
WAug 23 · 10:45F. Sikora—11111110113D. Sarganek—56131242
WAug 17 · 17:05F. Sikora—1111113D. Sarganek—6770
LAug 17 · 16:10F. Sikora—5940D. Sarganek—1111113
WAug 5 · 14:10F. Sikora—11116113D. Sarganek—551181
WAug 2 · 05:45F. Sikora—1111113D. Sarganek—5580
LJul 25 · 07:40F. Sikora—711951D. Sarganek—11811113
WJul 16 · 16:39F. Sikora—11211113D. Sarganek—911571
LJul 16 · 14:40F. Sikora—51161182D. Sarganek—113115113
LJul 13 · 14:40F. Sikora—12880D. Sarganek—1411113
F. Sikora10
LSep 6 · 13:10J. Rak2.501711113F. Sikora1.4215480WSep 6 · 11:40F. Sikora1.6712114113R. Niezgoda2.101091191LSep 6 · 10:40F. Sikora1.5012111591J. Rak2.50101317113WSep 3 · 17:20F. Sikora1.3611411113J. Rak3.00611861WSep 3 · 15:40F. Sikora1.731111113R. Niezgoda2.007880WSep 3 · 14:40F. Sikora1.571111113P. Vicherek2.258590WSep 3 · 13:40F. Sikora1.50101111113J. Rak2.50127351WAug 25 · 17:23P. Vicherek1.658121621F. Sikora2.10111414113LAug 25 · 15:45F. Sikora1.9111651162P. Vicherek1.80611114113WAug 25 · 14:45F. Sikora1.531111113J. Rak2.389760
D. Sarganek10
WSep 6 · 12:39R. Niezgoda1.67119361D. Sarganek2.1091111113LSep 6 · 12:10J. Rak2.101311113D. Sarganek1.6711860LSep 6 · 11:10D. Sarganek2.20111081192R. Niezgoda1.61612117113LAug 24 · 16:39M. Zaskodny1.9191111113D. Sarganek1.80119981LAug 24 · 16:10D. Sarganek1.737490M. Zaskodny2.001111113LAug 24 · 14:40R. Niezgoda1.6191111113D. Sarganek2.20119291WAug 24 · 14:10P. Vicherek1.911111511D. Sarganek1.8011311113WAug 23 · 13:24F. Sikora2.005950D. Sarganek1.731111113LAug 23 · 12:15D. Sarganek1.67117111262J. Rak2.10411714113LAug 23 · 10:45F. Sikora1.8311111110113D. Sarganek1.8356131242
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