TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058577
Played Sep 1Finished
Frantisek Chaloupka
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119711511811––
David Skulina
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:35 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Chaloupka to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFrantisek Chaloupka above · David Skulina below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Frantisek Chaloupka at 57.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Chaloupka 5–1 David Skulina David Skulina has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:35What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Chaloupka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Chaloupka
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaloupka 1692 vs Skulina 1591
Chaloupka
Wrong
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaloupka 60% vs Skulina 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaloupka 60% vs Skulina 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaloupka +3 · Skulina -1
Chaloupka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Chaloupka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skulina form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaloupka 1.67 / Skulina 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Chaloupka)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13058577
Chaloupka1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 111 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it96% 76 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it74% 97 of 131
Skulina2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 14 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back27% 4 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeChaloupka5wins
AwaySkulina1wins
2 of 6 to a deciderChaloupka leads 5–1, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaloupka80%4 of 5
AwaySkulinan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaloupka5Skulina1n = 6Chaloupka took 5 of 6
S2Chaloupka4Skulina2n = 6Chaloupka took 4 of 6
S3Chaloupka3Skulina3n = 6split evenly
S4Chaloupka4Skulina1n = 5Chaloupka took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricChaloupkaSkulinaC − SBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match42.536.5+6.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaloupkaSkulinaBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 487 vs 63 / 12752.6%49.6%256 / 487 vs 63 / 127Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaChaloupka 1.67/Skulina 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skulina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 21 · 17:15F. Chaloupka—11115123D. Skulina—8911101
WAug 21 · 14:10F. Chaloupka—11119113D. Skulina—681161
WMar 16 · 17:15F. Chaloupka—1111153D. Skulina—92130
WJan 6 · 18:20F. Chaloupka—116118113D. Skulina—81181192
LJan 6 · 15:15F. Chaloupka—117811122D. Skulina—911114143
WDec 9 · 17:10F. Chaloupka—81111113D. Skulina—118471
F. Chaloupka10
LSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113LSep 6 · 08:10F. Chaloupka1.911111711112D. Stusek1.80913119133WSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113LSep 6 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831111113F. Chaloupka1.831880LSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113LSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113LSep 4 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.73411148102D. Skulina2.001131211123WSep 4 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.83111169113K. Kleprlik1.8339111172LSep 1 · 17:09J. Gembala1.9112118113F. Chaloupka1.801091171WSep 1 · 14:40M. Zaskodny2.10117881F. Chaloupka1.6781111113
D. Skulina10
WSep 6 · 20:48P. Marsalek2.0058100D. Skulina1.731111123LSep 6 · 19:40D. Skulina1.6711119492M. Macurak2.10771111113LSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 17:40D. Skulina1.50101331182P. Marsalek2.501211117113WSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131LSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161WSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123WSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291WSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681WSep 4 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.73411148102D. Skulina2.001131211123
Upcoming Matches
F. Chaloupka
Nothing scheduled
D. Skulina
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