TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076942
Played Sep 4Finished
Ivan Heuman
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191412311116––
David Skulina
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Skulina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIvan Heuman above · David Skulina below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 77 set 4, 11-6 — our read held David Skulina at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Heuman 7–4 David Skulina David Skulina has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:39What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Skulina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Heuman
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heuman 1536 vs Skulina 1600
Skulina
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heuman 40% vs Skulina 80%
Skulina
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heuman 50% vs Skulina 70%
Skulina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Heuman -2 · Skulina +3
Skulina
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skulina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skulina form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeuman 1.91 / Skulina 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skulina)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13076942
Heuman1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 62 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back36% 20 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Skulina1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 22 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it75% 18 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeuman6wins
AwaySkulina4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHeuman leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeuman100%4 of 4
AwaySkulina66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heuman4Skulina6n = 10Skulina took 6 of 10
S2Heuman4Skulina6n = 10Skulina took 6 of 10
S3Heuman6Skulina4n = 10Heuman took 6 of 10
S4Heuman5Skulina1n = 6Heuman took 5 of 6
S5Heuman3Skulina2n = 5Heuman took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeumanSkulinaH − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.841.2−0.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeumanSkulinaBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 392 vs 71 / 14049.2%50.7%193 / 392 vs 71 / 140Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkulinaHeuman 1.91/Skulina 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Skulina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Heuman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman—11143113D. Skulina—9121161
WSep 2 · 18:45I. Heuman—1281011113D. Skulina—101112482
WApr 20 · 13:10I. Heuman—1113123D. Skulina—811100
LApr 20 · 11:10I. Heuman—83111192D. Skulina—111157113
LApr 11 · 16:45I. Heuman—11490D. Skulina—1311113
LApr 11 · 13:45I. Heuman—712111172D. Skulina—111447113
WMar 2 · 12:10I. Heuman—1115123D. Skulina—713100
LJan 12 · 21:45I. Heuman—6580D. Skulina—1111113
WJan 12 · 20:40I. Heuman—5131311133D. Skulina—1115119112
WDec 15 · 21:40I. Heuman—711119173D. Skulina—119711152
I. Heuman10
LSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113LSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132WSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162WSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110LSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113WSep 2 · 21:20J. Travnicek1.6761070I. Heuman2.101112113LSep 2 · 20:15I. Heuman2.003119101J. Travnicek1.7311711123WSep 2 · 18:45D. Skulina1.83101112482I. Heuman1.831281011113
D. Skulina10
WSep 6 · 20:48P. Marsalek2.0058100D. Skulina1.731111123LSep 6 · 19:40D. Skulina1.6711119492M. Macurak2.10771111113LSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 17:40D. Skulina1.50101331182P. Marsalek2.501211117113WSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131WSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123WSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291WSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681LSep 4 · 16:15D. Skulina1.6196100K. Kleprlik2.201111123LSep 2 · 18:45D. Skulina1.83101112482I. Heuman1.831281011113
Upcoming Matches
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D. Skulina
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