TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063871
Played Sep 2Finished
David Skulina
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121181210411811
Ivan Heuman
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Skulina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Ivan Heuman below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 97 set 5, 8-11 — our read held David Skulina at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H David Skulina 4–5 Ivan Heuman David Skulina has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:22What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Heuman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skulina 1573 vs Heuman 1511
Skulina
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skulina 40% vs Heuman 60%
Heuman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skulina 40% vs Heuman 70%
Heuman
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skulina -2 · Heuman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skulina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skulina form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkulina 1.83 / Heuman 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skulina)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13063871
Skulina1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Heuman1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSkulina4wins
AwayHeuman5wins
4 of 9 to a deciderHeuman leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkulina57.1%4 of 7
AwayHeumann = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skulina7Heuman2n = 9Skulina took 7 of 9
S2Skulina5Heuman4n = 9Skulina took 5 of 9
S3Skulina2Heuman7n = 9Heuman took 7 of 9
S4Skulina1Heuman4n = 5Heuman took 4 of 5
S5Skulina2Heuman2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricSkulinaHeumanS − HBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match40.439.8+0.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkulinaHeumanBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 130 vs 190 / 38649.2%49.2%64 / 130 vs 190 / 386Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkulinaSkulina 1.83/Heuman 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skulina · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Heuman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LApr 20 · 13:10D. Skulina—811100I. Heuman—1113123
WApr 20 · 11:10D. Skulina—111157113I. Heuman—83111192
WApr 11 · 16:45D. Skulina—1311113I. Heuman—11490
WApr 11 · 13:45D. Skulina—111447113I. Heuman—712111172
LMar 2 · 12:10D. Skulina—713100I. Heuman—1115123
WJan 12 · 21:45D. Skulina—1111113I. Heuman—6580
LJan 12 · 20:40D. Skulina—1115119112I. Heuman—5131311133
LDec 15 · 21:40D. Skulina—119711152I. Heuman—711119173
LDec 15 · 18:40D. Skulina—1181061I. Heuman—71112113
D. Skulina10
WSep 6 · 20:48P. Marsalek2.0058100D. Skulina1.731111123LSep 6 · 19:40D. Skulina1.6711119492M. Macurak2.10771111113LSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 17:40D. Skulina1.50101331182P. Marsalek2.501211117113WSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131LSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161WSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123WSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291WSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681LSep 4 · 16:15D. Skulina1.6196100K. Kleprlik2.201111123
I. Heuman10
LSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113LSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132WSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162WSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110WSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161LSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113WSep 2 · 21:20J. Travnicek1.6761070I. Heuman2.101112113LSep 2 · 20:15I. Heuman2.003119101J. Travnicek1.7311711123
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