TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076880
Played Sep 4Finished
David Skulina
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9116111012––––
Kamil Kleprlik
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:29 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeDavid Skulina to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Kamil Kleprlik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 59 set 3, 10-12 — our read held David Skulina at 57.3%
59 points played in total.
H2H David Skulina 3–4 Kamil Kleprlik David Skulina has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Skulina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skulina 1635 vs Kleprlik 1568
Skulina
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skulina 80% vs Kleprlik 20%
Skulina
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skulina 60% vs Kleprlik 40%
Skulina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skulina +4 · Kleprlik -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Skulina) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kleprlik form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkulina 1.61 / Kleprlik 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Skulina)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13076880
Skulina1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 22 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it75% 18 of 24
Kleprlik2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog47% won 70 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back26% 24 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSkulina3wins
AwayKleprlik4wins
4 of 7 to a deciderKleprlik leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkulinan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKleprlik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skulina2Kleprlik5n = 7Kleprlik took 5 of 7
S2Skulina4Kleprlik3n = 7Skulina took 4 of 7
S3Skulina3Kleprlik4n = 7Kleprlik took 4 of 7
S4Skulina2Kleprlik2n = 4split evenly
S5Skulina2Kleprlik2n = 4split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricSkulinaKleprlikS − KBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match37.039.3−2.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkulinaKleprlikBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 135 vs 241 / 49150.4%49.1%68 / 135 vs 241 / 491Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkulinaSkulina 1.61/Kleprlik 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Skulina · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kleprlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WApr 12 · 13:15D. Skulina—1111113K. Kleprlik—9770
WApr 12 · 10:10D. Skulina—11101110113K. Kleprlik—71241282
LApr 2 · 19:45D. Skulina—9390K. Kleprlik—1111113
LMar 16 · 15:15D. Skulina—9850K. Kleprlik—1111113
LJan 27 · 15:40D. Skulina—111181252K. Kleprlik—1361110113
LDec 16 · 17:50D. Skulina—71141142K. Kleprlik—118118113
WDec 16 · 16:15D. Skulina—811115113K. Kleprlik—11891142
D. Skulina10
WSep 6 · 20:48P. Marsalek2.0058100D. Skulina1.731111123LSep 6 · 19:40D. Skulina1.6711119492M. Macurak2.10771111113LSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 17:40D. Skulina1.50101331182P. Marsalek2.501211117113WSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131LSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161WSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123WSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291WSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681WSep 4 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.73411148102D. Skulina2.001131211123
K. Kleprlik10
LSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113WSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670WSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112LSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131WSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590WSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291WSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113LSep 4 · 15:15K. Kleprlik1.8381111682J. Skvrna1.83115911113
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