TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13079391
Played Sep 4Finished
David Skulina
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111171171513––
Kamil Kleprlik
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Kleprlik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Kamil Kleprlik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 81 set 4, 15-13 — our read held Kamil Kleprlik at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H David Skulina 4–5 Kamil Kleprlik David Skulina has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:08What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skulina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skulina 1612 vs Kleprlik 1615
Kleprlik
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skulina 60% vs Kleprlik 80%
Kleprlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skulina 70% vs Kleprlik 50%
Skulina
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skulina -1 · Kleprlik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Skulina) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kleprlik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkulina 1.57 / Kleprlik 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Skulina)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13079391
Skulina1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 22 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it75% 18 of 24
Kleprlik2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 70 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back26% 24 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSkulina4wins
AwayKleprlik5wins
4 of 9 to a deciderKleprlik leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkulinan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKleprlik71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skulina2Kleprlik7n = 9Kleprlik took 7 of 9
S2Skulina5Kleprlik4n = 9Skulina took 5 of 9
S3Skulina4Kleprlik5n = 9Kleprlik took 5 of 9
S4Skulina3Kleprlik2n = 5Skulina took 3 of 5
S5Skulina2Kleprlik2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricSkulinaKleprlikS − KBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match36.238.3−2.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkulinaKleprlikBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 140 vs 245 / 49650.7%49.4%71 / 140 vs 245 / 496Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkulinaSkulina 1.57/Kleprlik 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Skulina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skulina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina—61114113K. Kleprlik—1141291
LSep 4 · 16:15D. Skulina—96100K. Kleprlik—1111123
WApr 12 · 13:15D. Skulina—1111113K. Kleprlik—9770
WApr 12 · 10:10D. Skulina—11101110113K. Kleprlik—71241282
LApr 2 · 19:45D. Skulina—9390K. Kleprlik—1111113
LMar 16 · 15:15D. Skulina—9850K. Kleprlik—1111113
LJan 27 · 15:40D. Skulina—111181252K. Kleprlik—1361110113
LDec 16 · 17:50D. Skulina—71141142K. Kleprlik—118118113
WDec 16 · 16:15D. Skulina—811115113K. Kleprlik—11891142
D. Skulina10
WSep 6 · 20:48P. Marsalek2.0058100D. Skulina1.731111123LSep 6 · 19:40D. Skulina1.6711119492M. Macurak2.10771111113LSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 17:40D. Skulina1.50101331182P. Marsalek2.501211117113LSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161WSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123WSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291WSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681LSep 4 · 16:15D. Skulina1.6196100K. Kleprlik2.201111123WSep 4 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.73411148102D. Skulina2.001131211123
K. Kleprlik10
LSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113WSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670WSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112LSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113WSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590WSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291WSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113WSep 4 · 16:15D. Skulina1.6196100K. Kleprlik2.201111123LSep 4 · 15:15K. Kleprlik1.8381111682J. Skvrna1.83115911113
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