TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081407
Played Sep 5Finished
Kamil Kleprlik
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
61113111214911––
Ivan Heuman
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Kleprlik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKamil Kleprlik above · Ivan Heuman below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 87 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Kamil Kleprlik at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Kleprlik 8–8 Ivan Heuman Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:28What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Heuman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kleprlik 1588 vs Heuman 1556
Kleprlik
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kleprlik 60% vs Heuman 40%
Kleprlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kleprlik 40% vs Heuman 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kleprlik -1 · Heuman -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Heuman) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heuman form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKleprlik 2.00 / Heuman 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Heuman)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13081407
Kleprlik2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 73 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back26% 24 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Heuman1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 47 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it68% 34 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKleprlik5wins
AwayHeuman5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKleprlik100%3 of 3
AwayHeuman71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kleprlik3Heuman7n = 10Heuman took 7 of 10
S2Kleprlik5Heuman5n = 10split evenly
S3Kleprlik4Heuman6n = 10Heuman took 6 of 10
S4Kleprlik6Heuman4n = 10Kleprlik took 6 of 10
S5Kleprlik4Heuman2n = 6Kleprlik took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKleprlikHeumanK − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match46.147.9−1.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKleprlikHeumanBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 500 vs 195 / 39649.4%49.2%247 / 500 vs 195 / 396Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeumanKleprlik 2.00/Heuman 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Heuman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Heuman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik—6131291I. Heuman—111114113
WSep 4 · 18:45K. Kleprlik—1141212143I. Heuman—9111410122
WAug 28 · 17:45K. Kleprlik—4161111123I. Heuman—111879102
LAug 14 · 21:20K. Kleprlik—16111471I. Heuman—181312113
WAug 14 · 19:45K. Kleprlik—811611143I. Heuman—116114122
WJul 4 · 19:10K. Kleprlik—11117113I. Heuman—551191
LJun 15 · 14:40K. Kleprlik—65111262I. Heuman—1111910113
LMay 17 · 14:45K. Kleprlik—611101192I. Heuman—119126113
LMay 1 · 21:10K. Kleprlik—81112111I. Heuman—11614133
WMay 1 · 19:10K. Kleprlik—117126113I. Heuman—911101172
K. Kleprlik10
LSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113WSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670WSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112LSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131WSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590WSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291WSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113WSep 4 · 16:15D. Skulina1.6196100K. Kleprlik2.201111123LSep 4 · 15:15K. Kleprlik1.8381111682J. Skvrna1.83115911113
I. Heuman10
LSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113LSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132WSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162LSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110WSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161LSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113WSep 2 · 21:20J. Travnicek1.6761070I. Heuman2.101112113LSep 2 · 20:15I. Heuman2.003119101J. Travnicek1.7311711123WSep 2 · 18:45D. Skulina1.83101112482I. Heuman1.831281011113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.