TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13082091
Played Sep 5Finished
Tomas Lysek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
81111910121191513
Ivan Heuman
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:40 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeIvan Heuman to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Lysek above · Ivan Heuman below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 15-13
Point 109 set 5, 15-13 — our read held Ivan Heuman at 58.5%
109 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:40What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Heuman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Lysek 1525 vs Heuman 1568
Heuman
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysek 40% vs Heuman 60%
Heuman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysek 50% vs Heuman 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysek -1 · Heuman +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Heuman) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysek 2.20 / Heuman 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Heuman)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13082091
Lysek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 18 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Heuman1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 47 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it68% 34 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysekHeumanBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 227 vs 195 / 39553.3%49.4%121 / 227 vs 195 / 395Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeumanLysek 2.20/Heuman 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Heuman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lysek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Lysek10
WSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113LSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112WSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113WSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113LSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981LSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123LSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101WAug 28 · 17:10O. Kus2.107690T. Lysek1.671111113WAug 28 · 15:45T. Lysek2.0091111113K. Baros1.73117791WAug 28 · 14:45T. Lysek1.83111011113V. Reska1.83812991
I. Heuman10
LSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113WSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162WSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110WSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161LSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113WSep 2 · 21:20J. Travnicek1.6761070I. Heuman2.101112113LSep 2 · 20:15I. Heuman2.003119101J. Travnicek1.7311711123WSep 2 · 18:45D. Skulina1.83101112482I. Heuman1.831281011113
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