TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081728
Played Sep 5Finished
Jakub Volny
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119711119118––
Tomas Lysek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Volny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Volny above · Tomas Lysek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-5
Point 69 set 4, 6-5 — our read held Jakub Volny at 54.0%
69 points drawn · the score is 8 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jakub Volny 5–5 Tomas Lysek Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:59What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Lysek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volny 1566 vs Lysek 1537
Volny
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volny 60% vs Lysek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volny 60% vs Lysek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volny +1 · Lysek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volny)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolny 1.83 / Lysek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Volny)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13081728
Volny1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Lysek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolny5wins
AwayLysek5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolny75%3 of 4
AwayLysek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volny4Lysek6n = 10Lysek took 6 of 10
S2Volny4Lysek6n = 10Lysek took 6 of 10
S3Volny6Lysek4n = 10Volny took 6 of 10
S4Volny6Lysek3n = 9Volny took 6 of 9
S5Volny3Lysek4n = 7Lysek took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolnyLysekV − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.545.4−1.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolnyLysekBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 348 vs 122 / 22848.3%53.5%168 / 348 vs 122 / 228Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolnyVolny 1.83/Lysek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Volny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Volny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny—1171163T. Lysek—911951
LJul 6 · 17:40J. Volny—71111862T. Lysek—117711113
WApr 3 · 09:20J. Volny—111177143T. Lysek—981111122
LApr 3 · 08:15J. Volny—81171162T. Lysek—118117113
LMar 1 · 14:10J. Volny—117912122T. Lysek—7111110143
WFeb 21 · 21:45J. Volny—111211113T. Lysek—814881
LFeb 21 · 20:15J. Volny—38111162T. Lysek—111189113
WJan 30 · 07:10J. Volny—1711115123T. Lysek—196611102
WJan 25 · 18:15J. Volny—481111113T. Lysek—11118872
LJan 25 · 17:10J. Volny—12970T. Lysek—1411113
J. Volny10
WSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140WSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113LSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381LSep 4 · 17:05J. Volny1.8341151192K. Baros1.83119117113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113LSep 4 · 14:10J. Volny1.911181241K. Baros1.8081114113LAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 07:40J. Volny1.731111113V. Reska2.006960WAug 29 · 06:40J. Volny1.571210118113O. Kus2.25101291162
T. Lysek10
WSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113WSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132LSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112WSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113WSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113LSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123LSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101WAug 28 · 17:10O. Kus2.107690T. Lysek1.671111113WAug 28 · 15:45T. Lysek2.0091111113K. Baros1.73117791WAug 28 · 14:45T. Lysek1.83111011113V. Reska1.83812991
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