TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076573
Played Sep 4Finished
Vladislav Reska
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119118511611711
Jakub Volny
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:00 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Volny to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladislav Reska above · Jakub Volny below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 90 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Volny at 57.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Vladislav Reska 2–5 Jakub Volny Vladislav Reska has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:00What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Volny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Volny
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reska 1486 vs Volny 1480
Reska
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reska 80% vs Volny 60%
Reska
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reska 90% vs Volny 40%
Reska
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Reska -1 · Volny -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Volny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReska 2.10 / Volny 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Volny)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13076573
Reska2.10
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 68 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back22% 14 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 30
Volny1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 45 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it78% 28 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeReska2wins
AwayVolny5wins
4 of 7 to a deciderVolny leads 5–2, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReska66.7%2 of 3
AwayVolny100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reska3Volny4n = 7Volny took 4 of 7
S2Reska1Volny6n = 7Volny took 6 of 7
S3Reska5Volny2n = 7Reska took 5 of 7
S4Reska1Volny5n = 6Volny took 5 of 6
S5Reska2Volny2n = 4split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricReskaVolnyR − VBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match38.942.7−3.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReskaVolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 475 vs 165 / 34450.3%48%239 / 475 vs 165 / 344Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolnyReska 2.10/Volny 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Volny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Volny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska—11115672J. Volny—981111113
LAug 29 · 07:40V. Reska—6960J. Volny—1111113
LAug 17 · 21:15V. Reska—910111192J. Volny—111252113
WAug 17 · 17:45V. Reska—114119123J. Volny—911911102
WJun 29 · 17:45V. Reska—118117133J. Volny—711611112
LApr 12 · 14:40V. Reska—491181J. Volny—11116113
LFeb 22 · 19:10V. Reska—681171J. Volny—11117113
V. Reska10
WSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121LSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.83111178113J. Patrik1.8379111162WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.388690LSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780LSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272WSep 2 · 17:10V. Reska1.671111113O. Coufal2.105780WSep 2 · 15:40V. Reska1.7361111113M. Janik2.00117481
J. Volny10
WSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140WSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981WSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113LSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381LSep 4 · 17:05J. Volny1.8341151192K. Baros1.83119117113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113LSep 4 · 14:10J. Volny1.911181241K. Baros1.8081114113LAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 07:40J. Volny1.731111113V. Reska2.006960WAug 29 · 06:40J. Volny1.571210118113O. Kus2.25101291162
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