TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13080381
Played Sep 5Finished
Vladislav Reska
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711116811––
Ondrej Skvor
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:19 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeVladislav Reska to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVladislav Reska above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Vladislav Reska at 58.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Vladislav Reska 3–0 Ondrej Skvor Ondrej Skvor has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:19What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Reska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Reska
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reska 1515 vs Skvor 1362
Reska
Wrong
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reska 60% vs Skvor 20%
Reska
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reska 60% vs Skvor 20%
Reska
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Reska +3 · Skvor +1
Reska
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Reska) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvor form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReska 1.61 / Skvor 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Reska)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13080381
Reska1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 72 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it80% 51 of 64
Skvor2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 13 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeReska3wins
AwaySkvor0wins
Reska leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reska2Skvor1n = 3Reska took 2 of 3
S2Reska1Skvor2n = 3Skvor took 2 of 3
S3Reska3Skvor0n = 3Reska took 3 of 3
S4Reska3Skvor0n = 3Reska took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home3100%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricReskaSkvorR − SBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.334.0+7.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReskaSkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 478 vs 61 / 12350.6%49.6%242 / 478 vs 61 / 123Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReskaReska 1.61/Skvor 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Reska · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skvor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 2 · 14:40V. Reska—11811113O. Skvor—911891
WAug 30 · 21:13V. Reska—91211113O. Skvor—1110471
WAug 30 · 19:45V. Reska—11711113O. Skvor—811591
V. Reska10
WSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.83111178113J. Patrik1.8379111162WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.388690LSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780LSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113LSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272WSep 2 · 17:10V. Reska1.671111113O. Coufal2.105780WSep 2 · 15:40V. Reska1.7361111113M. Janik2.00117481
O. Skvor10
WSep 5 · 17:14M. Lorenc1.44713551O. Skvor2.63111111113WSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123WSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113LSep 5 · 14:10O. Skvor1.91111171292M. Lorenc1.80891114113WSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 11:10T. Ogrocki2.2513135101O. Skvor1.57111511123LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.67661281J. Patrik2.10111110113LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.65661281P. Jokiel1.98111110113LSep 2 · 20:40O. Skvor1.5771070V. Molin2.251112113LSep 2 · 20:10O. Skvor1.537690J. Vanous2.381111113
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