TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13080367
Played Sep 5Finished
Vladislav Reska
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117119711811116
Jokiel Patrik
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–1Last 4Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJokiel Patrik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVladislav Reska above · Jokiel Patrik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 92 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jokiel Patrik at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:21What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Patrik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Reska 1496 vs Patrik 1555
Patrik
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reska 20% vs Patrik 75%
Patrik
Wrong
55pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reska 60% vs Patrik 75%
Patrik
Wrong
15pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Reska +1 · Patrik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Patrik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patrik form (75%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReska 1.83 / Patrik 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Patrik)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13080367
Reska1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Patrik1.83
75%won 3 of 4 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 2 of 4
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricReskaPatrikBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 476 vs 2 / 650.4%33.3%240 / 476 vs 2 / 6Avg sets wonper match2.01.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.319.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrikReska 1.83/Patrik 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Patrik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Reska won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Reska10
WSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121LSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.388690LSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780LSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113LSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272WSep 2 · 17:10V. Reska1.671111113O. Coufal2.105780WSep 2 · 15:40V. Reska1.7361111113M. Janik2.00117481
J. Patrik8
WSep 5 · 12:10J. Patrik1.73111111113T. Ogrocki2.00135891WSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.67661281J. Patrik2.10111110113LFeb 15 · 20:40O. Kus1.531111113J. Patrik2.384890WFeb 15 · 20:10R. Benesz1.831211971J. Patrik1.83101311113WFeb 15 · 19:10J. Patrik1.8314199113O. Vaclahovsky1.8312171191LDec 1 · 10:30J. Patrik—1J. Schwan—3WMar 2 · 09:30J. Patrik—3D. Muller—0LSep 26 · 08:59T. Lysek—3J. Patrik—2
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